康巴什电网建设与改造项目经济前评价研究

发布时间：2019-03-05 20:03

【摘要】：电网是一个复杂的系统，它是将电源所发电力销售给最终用户的网络通道。电网的安全稳定与国民生产生活息息相关，对整个社会持续、健康、快速的发展有着重要和深远的意义。由于电网工程建设与改造项目具复杂、不固定、风险大等特点，电网工程建设与改造项目决策离不开项目经济前评估的支持。建立并完善电网建设项目前评估机制己经成为深化投融资体制改革过程中所面临的一个急迫而又崭新的课题。本文在研究一般建设项目财务评价的理论、方法的基础上，针对以往电网工程建设项目经济评价中出现的问题，以康巴什电网建设改造项目为例，结合康巴什的实际情况，在充分调研的基础上，对康巴什电网110kV变电站工程项目经济指标分析、盈亏平衡分析、敏感性分析、内部经济性分析四大部分进行项目经济性评价。本文采用两个投资方案，分别从盈利能力、偿债能力、营运能力、效益比率、成长能力五方面进行项目经济指标分析；从盈亏平衡点、安全边际两方面对项目进行盈亏平衡分析；从投资额、售电量变动对折现率和加价电价的影响程度进行敏感性分析；最后又从从电量效益、质量效益、电价效益、战略规划效益四方面进行内部经济效益分析。通过科学的分析和计算，得出客观的评价结论，体现本文所采用研究理论的实用性。
[Abstract]:Grid is a complex system, it is the network channel that sells the power generated by the power to the end-user. The safety and stability of the power grid is closely related to the production and life of the people. It is of great significance to the sustained, healthy and rapid development of the whole society. Due to the complexity, instability and high risk of power grid engineering construction and reconstruction projects, the decision-making of power grid engineering construction and transformation projects can not be separated from the support of pre-economic evaluation of the projects. The establishment and perfection of the pre-evaluation mechanism of power grid construction projects has become an urgent and new subject in the process of deepening the reform of the investment and financing system. On the basis of studying the theory and method of financial evaluation of general construction projects, aiming at the problems existing in the economic evaluation of power grid construction projects in the past, this paper takes Kangbashi power grid construction and transformation project as an example, combining with the actual situation of Kangbashi. On the basis of full investigation, the economic index analysis, break-even analysis, sensitivity analysis and internal economic analysis of the 110kV substation project in Kangbashi Power Grid are carried out to evaluate the economic performance of the project in four parts: economic index analysis, breakeven analysis, sensitivity analysis and internal economic analysis. This paper uses two investment schemes, respectively from the profitability, solvency, operational capacity, efficiency ratio, growth capacity of the five aspects of the project economic indicators analysis; From the break-even point and the safety margin, the paper analyzes the profit and break-even balance of the project, analyzes the sensitivity of the investment amount, the change of electricity sales to the discount rate and the degree of price increase. Finally, the internal economic benefits are analyzed from four aspects: power efficiency, quality benefit, electricity price benefit and strategic planning benefit. Through the scientific analysis and calculation, the objective evaluation conclusion is drawn, which shows the practicability of the research theory adopted in this paper.
【学位授予单位】：华北电力大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：F426.61

【参考文献】