碳定价政策对我国工业部门成本的影响研究

发布时间：2019-06-22 20:43

【摘要】：气候变化问题引起广泛的关注和研究，碳定价政策是温室气体减排的重要市场机制。随着学术界和政府部门对碳定价政策研究不断深入，我国碳定价政策的实施已在议程之上。本文主要关注的碳定价政策实施将会对我国工业部门产生的影响，包括碳定价政策对工业部门在进出口贸易和成本、利润方面造成负面影响。旨在通过碳定价政策的模拟分析，探讨碳定价政策制定过程需要关注的部门和影响因素，减轻碳定价政策对我国工业部门可能造成的负面影响，确保碳定价政策的顺利推行和二氧化碳减排目标的实现。本论文主要工作是：首先梳理了碳定价政策的理论基础和实践经验。分析我国二氧化碳历史演变和工业部门二氧化碳排放特征。本论文基于单向的碳定价政策假设，研究产品价格不可变和可变两种情形下，，我国工业部门可能受到的负面影响。在产品价格不变的条件下，研究我国工业部门二氧化碳成本增加；工业部门在进出口强度过程中，工业部门在碳定价政策的影响程度以及需要“关注”的部门。在产品价格可变的条件下，本文运用投入产出分析来体现各部门的经济运行。最终需求发生变动时，各部门的产出量、价格以及利润的变动分析。评估碳定价政策对工业部门经济效益和节能减排的贡献。最后，本论文根据实证分析结果，提出合理可行的政策建议，以期能够为碳定价政策制定和实施提供参考，并且尽可能的减少碳定价政策对我国工业部门造成的负面影响，同时达到二氧化碳减排的目的。
[Abstract]:Climate change has attracted extensive attention and research. Carbon pricing policy is an important market mechanism for greenhouse gas emission reduction. With the deepening of the research on carbon pricing policy in academia and government departments, the implementation of carbon pricing policy in China is already on the agenda. The implementation of carbon pricing policy, which is mainly concerned in this paper, will have an impact on China's industrial sector, including the negative impact of carbon pricing policy on import and export trade, cost and profit of industrial sector. Through the simulation analysis of carbon pricing policy, this paper discusses the departments and influencing factors that need to be paid attention to in the process of carbon pricing policy formulation, reduces the possible negative impact of carbon pricing policy on China's industrial sector, and ensures the smooth implementation of carbon pricing policy and the realization of carbon dioxide emission reduction target. The main work of this paper is as follows: firstly, the theoretical basis and practical experience of carbon pricing policy are combed. The historical evolution of carbon dioxide in China and the characteristics of carbon dioxide emission from industrial sector are analyzed. Based on the assumption of one-way carbon pricing policy, this paper studies the possible negative effects on the industrial sector in China under the condition that the product price is immutable and variable. Under the condition of constant product price, the increase of carbon dioxide cost in China's industrial sector is studied. In the process of import and export intensity, the influence degree of industrial sector in carbon pricing policy and the sectors that need to be "concerned" are studied. Under the condition of variable product price, this paper uses input-output analysis to reflect the economic operation of each department. When the final demand changes, the output, price and profit of each department are analyzed. Evaluate the contribution of carbon pricing policy to the economic benefits and energy conservation and emission reduction of the industrial sector. Finally, according to the results of empirical analysis, this paper puts forward reasonable and feasible policy suggestions, in order to provide reference for the formulation and implementation of carbon pricing policy, and to reduce the negative impact of carbon pricing policy on China's industrial sector as much as possible, and at the same time achieve the purpose of carbon dioxide emission reduction.
【学位授予单位】：南京航空航天大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：F406.72

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