环保支出决策:渐进还是间断均衡——基于中国省级面板数据的分析

发布时间：2018-01-23 01:16

本文关键词： 预算变化公共预算决策间断均衡渐进主义环保支出决策模式　出处：《甘肃行政学院学报》2015年02期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：由于一味追求经济发展,环境治理问题一直未得到我国政府足够的重视,环保支出长期不足,导致环境污染持续恶化。面对环境污染所带来的压力,国家治理理应作出积极的回应,但是,环保支出不仅没有得到逐年的稳步增长,而是处于剧烈的波动状态,甚至经历了大幅度的削减。为什么环保支出会出现这样的变化?为了解答这个问题,本研究以支出变化为切入点,分析了我国2000—2010年30个省的环保支出变化,发现其属于间断均衡模式。然后在间断均衡决策理论的基础上,发展出"决策者注意力-体制摩擦"的解释框架和两条研究假设,用我国环保面板数据对其进行了检验,发现预算决策由于受到决策者注意力和体制摩擦的共同影响,环保支出呈现出间断均衡的特点。当决策者注意力偏离环保事务和体制摩擦非常大的时候,环保支出很难得到大幅增长。
[Abstract]:As a result of blindly pursuing economic development, the problem of environmental governance has not been paid enough attention to by our government, and the environmental protection expenditure has been insufficient for a long time, which leads to the continuous deterioration of environmental pollution and the pressure brought about by environmental pollution. National governance should make a positive response, but environmental expenditure not only has not been steadily increasing year by year, but is in a state of violent fluctuations. Even after big cuts. Why did environmental spending change like this? In order to answer this question, this study analyzes the change of environmental expenditure in 30 provinces of China from 2000 to 2010 by taking the change of expenditure as the starting point. It is found that it belongs to the discontinuous equilibrium model, and then on the basis of the decision theory of discontinuous equilibrium, an explanatory framework and two research hypotheses of "attention-institutional friction of decision makers" are developed. The environmental protection panel data of our country are used to test it, and it is found that the budget decision is influenced by the attention of the decision-maker and the system friction. Environmental spending is characterized by a discontinuous balance. It is hard to see a big increase in environmental spending when policy makers' attention deviates from environmental issues and there is a lot of institutional friction.
【作者单位】：广东财经大学财政税务学院;
【基金】：“推进生态城市建设的预算决策议程动力模型及应用研究”(13CGL152)国家社科基金青年项目的阶段性成果
【分类号】：F812.45;X321
【正文快照】： 一、引言1978年中国改革开放以来,经济持续高速增长,市场经济的发展为人类带来了前所未有的物质财富的增长,如同波兰尼所担心的,市场经济的发展总是伴随着不可忽视的环境代价,[1]中国大规模的城市化和工业化在过去30年中急剧地恶化了环境状况。[2]环境质量恶化激发出各种各样

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