能源补贴对能源消费结构的优化效应研究

发布时间：2018-01-25 05:03

本文关键词： 能源补贴能源消费结构碳排放　出处：《湖南大学》2014年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：能源补贴是促进能源发展的有效手段。而能源补贴与能源消费、能源消费结构息息相关。我国巨大的化石能源补贴严重影响了能源消费结构,造成了较大的环境污染,不利于经济的可持续发展。能源补贴能够产生经济效益,同样也能给环境带来不良影响。本文通过经济学分析证明了能源补贴对能源消费的有效性,并从生产端和消费端去研究能源补贴影响能源消费结构的影响机制。而从短期来看,能源价格对能源消费结构有着重要影响,存在着“能源补贴——能源弹性——能源消费结构”的短期路径。从长期来看,能源效率通过技术改造以及节能产品的普及促进了能源消费结构的改变,存在着“能源补贴——能源效率——能源消费结构”的长期路径。能源补贴促进新能源发展是能源替代战略中的重要组成部分。本文将新能源的发展分为不同阶段,通过研究各阶段能源补贴的作用,分析了能源补贴促进新能源发展的影响路径。本文不仅从理论上研究了能源补贴对能源替代的影响机制,还系统性地介绍了能源补贴估算的理论方法,并利用价差法估算了我国2007-2012年的化石能源补贴和清洁能源补贴。通过估算表明我国的化石能源补贴在逐步减少,特别是成品油与煤炭补贴减少较多,而清洁能源补贴和天然气补贴则在逐步增加。估算结果还表明取消化石能源能源补贴能够减少大量二氧化碳排放,对我国的节能减排战略具有重大意义,特别是选择性减少成品油的补贴,能够取得较大的减排效应。其后本文通过统计性描述研究了能源补贴与能源消费结构的关系,通过格兰杰因果检验验证了能源补贴对能源消费结构存在显著的优化效应。得出对化石能源的调控能有效促进我国能源消费结构的优化的结论。最后本文从能源补贴优化能源消费结构的角度出了相应的政策建议。
[Abstract]:Energy subsidy is an effective means to promote the development of energy, and energy subsidies are closely related to energy consumption and energy consumption structure. The huge fossil energy subsidies in China have seriously affected the energy consumption structure. It is harmful to the sustainable development of economy, and energy subsidy can produce economic benefits. It can also bring adverse effects to the environment. This paper proves the effectiveness of energy subsidies on energy consumption through economic analysis. And from the end of production and consumption to study the impact of energy subsidies on the structure of energy consumption mechanism. In the short term, energy prices have an important impact on the structure of energy consumption. There is a short-term path of "energy subsidy-energy elasticity-energy consumption structure". In the long run, energy efficiency promotes the change of energy consumption structure through technological transformation and popularization of energy-saving products. There is "energy subsidy-energy efficiency-energy consumption structure" Energy subsidies to promote the development of new energy is an important part of energy substitution strategy. This paper divides the development of new energy into different stages. By studying the role of energy subsidies in different stages, the influence paths of energy subsidies to promote the development of new energy are analyzed. This paper not only studies the influence mechanism of energy subsidy on energy substitution theoretically, but also systematically introduces the theoretical method of estimating energy subsidy. The fossil energy subsidies and clean energy subsidies in China from 2007 to 2012 are estimated by using the spread method, which shows that the fossil energy subsidies in China are gradually decreasing. In particular, subsidies for refined oil and coal have been reduced more, while subsidies for clean energy and natural gas have been gradually increasing. Estimates also show that the elimination of fossil energy subsidies can reduce large amounts of carbon dioxide emissions. It is of great significance to the strategy of energy saving and emission reduction in China, especially the selective reduction of subsidies for refined oil products. Then this paper studies the relationship between energy subsidies and energy consumption structure through statistical description. The Granger causality test verifies that the energy subsidy has significant optimization effect on the energy consumption structure, and draws the conclusion that the regulation and control of fossil energy can effectively promote the optimization of energy consumption structure in China. Finally, this paper concludes that the regulation of fossil energy can effectively promote the optimization of energy consumption structure in China. The subsidy optimizes the energy consumption structure angle to put forward the corresponding policy suggestion.
【学位授予单位】：湖南大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F812.45;F206

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