公共支出视阈下的河南省减贫效应分析
发布时间:2018-01-29 02:21
本文关键词: 贫困 公共支出 减贫效应 对策 出处:《河南大学》2014年硕士论文 论文类型:学位论文
【摘要】:贫困是全世界普遍存在的难题,不管发达国家还是发展中国家,只是程度有所差异,各国政府也都在为脱贫进行各种尝试,积极对消除贫困的课题进行研究。河南省是我国的人口大省和农业大省,经济实力则相对薄弱,贫困问题尤为突出:贫困人群成区域化集中趋势,贫困标准较低,生产和生活基础设施落后,贫困县制度存在漏洞,扶贫瞄准机制存在缺陷,贫困问题日趋复杂化。而政府公共支出作为解决贫困的有效途径,有着不可替代的重要作用。在此背景下,对河南省公共支出的减贫效应进行研究分析,将有利于中原经济区全面小康社会的建设,具有重要的理论和现实意义。 本文通过理论分析和实证分析相结合、定量分析和定性分析相结合的方法,首先,对河南省近年来的贫困状况、公共支出状况进行了统计和分析;其次,对公共支出的减贫效应进行了理论分析:公共教育支出和公共医疗卫生支出对可行能力贫困效果明显,社会保障支出对于收入贫困具有重要作用,经济增长对于收入贫困和可行能力贫困都具有较大作用;然后,通过总量回归和分项回归建立一个分析框架对影响河南省贫困发生率的各要素进行了相关性分析:河南省公共支出占GDP比重的增加对贫困发生率存在负相关的关系,即减贫效应为正,其中,公共教育支出、社会保障支出与公共医疗卫生支出占GDP比重的增加都对贫困发生率存在负相关关系,,减贫贡献则各不相同,而经济增长对贫困发生率存在负相关关系,但是没有明显的显著性;再次,通过分析发现了河南省经济发展和公共支出情况存在的一些问题;最后,依据目前河南省公共支出存在的问题,提出了完善公共支出结构,促进减贫事业发展的对策建议:进一步调整公共支出结构,发挥公共服务的减贫作用;调整和完善减贫瞄准机制;优化经济结构,重视发挥经济增长对减贫的根本性作用。
[Abstract]:Poverty is a common problem in the world, whether developed or developing countries, but with varying degrees, governments are also trying to get rid of poverty. Henan Province is a large province with large population and large agricultural province, but the economic strength is relatively weak, the poverty problem is especially prominent: the poverty population becomes the regional concentration trend. Poverty standards are low, production and living infrastructure is backward, there are loopholes in the system of poor counties, there are defects in the targeting mechanism of poverty alleviation, and the problem of poverty is becoming more and more complicated. Government public expenditure is an effective way to solve poverty. In this context, the poverty reduction effect of public expenditure in Henan Province will be studied and analyzed, which will be conducive to the construction of a well-to-do society in the Central Plains Economic Zone. It has important theoretical and practical significance. This paper combines the theoretical analysis with the empirical analysis, the quantitative analysis and the qualitative analysis. Firstly, it makes statistics and analysis on the poverty and public expenditure in Henan Province in recent years. Secondly, the poverty reduction effect of public expenditure is analyzed theoretically: public education expenditure and public health expenditure have obvious effect on feasible capacity poverty, and social security expenditure plays an important role in income poverty. Economic growth plays an important role in both income poverty and feasible capacity poverty; And... Through the total regression and sub-regression to establish an analytical framework for the impact of the incidence of poverty in Henan Province for each element of the correlation analysis. The ratio of public expenditure to GDP in Henan Province is negatively related to the incidence of poverty. That is, the effect of poverty reduction is positive, among which, public education expenditure, social security expenditure and the increase of public health expenditure in the proportion of GDP have a negative correlation to the incidence of poverty, the contribution to poverty reduction is different. However, there is a negative correlation between economic growth and the incidence of poverty, but there is no significant difference. Thirdly, through the analysis, we find some problems existing in the economic development and public expenditure in Henan Province. Finally, according to the existing problems of public expenditure in Henan Province, the paper puts forward some countermeasures to improve the structure of public expenditure and promote the development of poverty reduction: further adjusting the structure of public expenditure and giving play to the role of public services in reducing poverty; Readjust and improve poverty reduction targeting mechanisms; Optimizing the economic structure and giving full play to the fundamental role of economic growth in reducing poverty.
【学位授予单位】:河南大学
【学位级别】:硕士
【学位授予年份】:2014
【分类号】:F812.45;F126
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