中央转移支付对地方财政支出的影响机制及实证分析

发布时间：2018-03-10 02:11

本文选题：中央转移支付　切入点：地方财政支出　出处：《统计研究》2015年01期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：本文主要探讨中央转移支付如何通过影响地方政府财政支出,进而影响民生福祉。通过构建一种基于幸福经济学理论的一般均衡理论模型,并使用1997—2013年中国内地31个省域的空间面板数据,本文研究发现:地方财政支出长期存在增量预算特征;2007—2013年期间社会保障支出领域存在显著的粘蝇纸效应;1997—2006年期间地方财政的基本建设支出存在显著的攀比之风,社会消费惯性则对2007年之后的社会保障支出存在正向激励;中央转移支付对地方财政支出行为的影响机制受空间因素影响较大,在1997—2006年期间部分财政支出类型受非本省域的社会经济因素影响更大,而在2007年之后所有类型的财政支出受本省域的影响更为显著。
[Abstract]:This paper mainly discusses how the central transfer payment affects the local government's financial expenditure and the well-being of the people's livelihood, and constructs a general equilibrium theory model based on the theory of happiness economics. And using the spatial panel data from 31 provinces in the mainland of China from 1997 to 2013, This paper finds that the local fiscal expenditure has the characteristics of incremental budget for a long time. During the period 2007-2013, there is a significant sticky paper effect in the area of social security expenditure. In 1997-2006, the capital construction expenditure of local finance has a significant trend of comparison. The inertia of social consumption has a positive incentive to social security expenditure after 2007, and the influence mechanism of central transfer payment on local fiscal expenditure behavior is greatly affected by spatial factors. In the period of 1997-2006, some types of fiscal expenditure were influenced more by non-provincial social and economic factors, but after 2007, all types of fiscal expenditure were more significantly affected by the provincial region.
【作者单位】：北京大学经济学院;国家统计局统计科学研究所;北京大学教务部;
【基金】：中国博士后科学基金项目“国民幸福一般均衡理论范式及应用研究”(编号:2014M550525) 全国统计科研计划重点项目“国民幸福测度理论范式及应用研究”(编号:2014LX12)的阶段性研究成果
【分类号】：F812.45

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