日本提高消费税对物价的影响及政策展望

发布时间：2018-03-10 04:08

本文选题：消费税　切入点：通货紧缩　出处：《经济问题探索》2016年02期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：在安倍经济学背景下,本文分析提高消费税对日本整体物价水平的影响,探究物价传导内在机制并对日本经济政策进行展望。提高通胀率、走出通缩是安倍经济改革面临的首要问题,通过提高消费税已经使日本消费者物价指数和企业物价指数等物价指标有所好转,整体经济展现复苏迹象。但此次物价水平的提升本质上属于供给推动型,主要是原材料价格的上涨,这根源于日元贬值后的价格效应。因此提高消费税不足以推动日本经济走出通缩、当前的价格上涨趋势也不具有持续性。最后对安倍政权的内外经济政策进行展望,在研究日本经验教训的同时为中国制定对日政策提供启示。
[Abstract]:In the context of Abenomics, this paper analyzes the impact of increasing consumption tax on the overall price level in Japan, explores the intrinsic mechanism of price transmission and looks forward to Japan's economic policy. Getting out of deflation is a top priority for Abe's economic reform. By raising the consumption tax, prices such as Japan's consumer price index and enterprise price index have improved. The overall economy shows signs of recovery. But this price rise is essentially supply-driven, mainly because of rising prices of raw materials. This is rooted in the price effect after the depreciation of the yen. Therefore, raising the consumption tax is not enough to push the Japanese economy out of deflation, and the current trend of rising prices is not sustainable. Finally, it looks forward to the Abe regime's domestic and foreign economic policies. While studying Japan's experience and lessons, it provides enlightenment for China to formulate its policy towards Japan.
【作者单位】：中国人民大学;
【分类号】：F813.13;F131.3

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