政府财政支出与区域经济增长非线性关系研究——基于中国省际面板的门槛检验

发布时间：2018-03-17 12:26

本文选题：最优政府财政支出规模　切入点：区域经济增长　出处：《社会科学辑刊》2017年04期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：正确理解和评估政府财政支出与经济增长的关系,分析财政支出的效率,有助于构建科学合理的财政政策体系。地方政府财政支出与经济增长的关系呈现倒U形,存在最优财政支出规模的门槛效应。对东部、中部和西部各省财政支出最优规模的测算发现,很多省份都已经超过或接近最优财政支出规模,财政支出对经济增长的边际效应减弱,过度依赖政府财政支出驱动的经济增长模式不可持续。由于与最优财政支出规模的距离不同,中国东部、中部和西部财政支出的经济增长效应存在很大差异,西部财政支出的经济增长效应很低。
[Abstract]:A correct understanding and evaluation of the relationship between government fiscal expenditure and economic growth, and an analysis of the efficiency of fiscal expenditure are helpful to the construction of a scientific and reasonable fiscal policy system. There is the threshold effect of the optimal scale of fiscal expenditure. From the estimation of the optimal scale of fiscal expenditure in the eastern, central and western provinces, it is found that many provinces have exceeded or approached the optimal scale of fiscal expenditure. The marginal effect of fiscal expenditure on economic growth is weakened, and the economic growth model driven by excessive reliance on government fiscal expenditure is not sustainable. The economic growth effect of fiscal expenditure in central and western regions is very different, and the economic growth effect of fiscal expenditure in western China is very low.
【作者单位】：南开大学中国特色社会主义建设协同创新中心;南开大学国家经济战略研究院;南开大学经济学院;
【基金】：教育部人文社会科学重点研究基地重大项目(11JJD790038) 国家社会科学基金项目(11BK031)
【分类号】：F127;F812.45

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