地方政府债务规模绩效评估、影响机制及优化治理研究

发布时间：2018-04-16 05:36

本文选题：地方政府债务规模 + 绩效评估　；参考：《中国软科学》2015年11期

【摘要】：本文以公共需求偏好匹配标准为导向,设计出债务需求偏好匹配指数作为地方政府债务规模的绩效评估指标,结合我国2002-2012年31个省(市)的相关样本面板数据,对我国省域地方政府债务规模绩效开展实证评估。在此基础上,从地方政府行为视角出发,运用多元选择Logit模型,实证检验了地方政府债务规模绩效的影响机制。实证检验结果表明:地方政府举债活动所处的中国式财政分权的制度环境,以及地方政府在举债过程中面临的晋升激励机制和预算软约束机制,共同显著影响着地方政府债务规模绩效的状况和水平。据此,从改革财政分权制度环境,调整地方政府举债激励和约束机制的制度安排等方面,提出了优化治理我国地方政府债务规模绩效的政策建议。
[Abstract]:Based on the public demand preference matching criterion, this paper designs the debt demand preference matching index as the performance evaluation index of local government debt scale, and combines the relevant sample panel data of 31 provinces (cities) from 2002 to 2012 in China.This paper makes an empirical evaluation on the scale performance of local government debt in China.On this basis, from the perspective of local government behavior, using the multi-choice Logit model, the paper empirically tests the influence mechanism of local government debt scale performance.The empirical results show that: the local government borrowing activities in the Chinese type of fiscal decentralization institutional environment, and the local government in the process of debt promotion incentive mechanism and budget soft constraint mechanism,Together, it has a significant impact on the performance of local government debt performance.Based on this, this paper puts forward some policy suggestions on optimizing the performance of local government debt scale from the aspects of reforming the system environment of fiscal decentralization and adjusting the institutional arrangement of local government debt incentive and restraint mechanism.
【作者单位】：湖南大学经济与贸易学院;财政部财政科学研究所;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金项目(71373073;71103060) 教育部人文社科研究基金项目(15YJC790027) 中国博士后科学基金特别资助项目(2014T70056);中国博士后科学基金面上项目一等资助(2013M540072)
【分类号】：F812.5

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