出生率、政府健康支出与实际汇率

发布时间：2018-05-01 10:37

本文选题：出生率 + 政府健康支出　；参考：《财贸经济》2017年12期

【摘要】：本文首先考察了典型代理人效用最优化下的消费和健康人力资本等最优一阶条件,得到实际汇率和出生率均衡方程;同时结合生产者最优化进一步拓展该模型,得到健康支出、出生率等对实际汇率的影响。理论分析表明:政府健康支出、人口出生率、非贸易品与贸易品劳动生产率之比和实际汇率存在长期的均衡关系,政府健康支出、出生率对实际汇率都有一定的影响。面板数据动态最小二乘法的实证结果显示:政府健康支出和实际汇率是同向变化,两者之间都是正相关;人口出生率和实际汇率变化则依赖于具体的条件。
[Abstract]:In this paper, the optimal first-order conditions such as consumption and healthy human capital under typical agent utility optimization are investigated, and the equilibrium equations of real exchange rate and birth rate are obtained. The effect of birth rate on real exchange rate. The theoretical analysis shows that: government health expenditure, population birth rate, the ratio of labor productivity between non-tradable and traded goods and the real exchange rate have a long-term equilibrium relationship, and the government health expenditure and birth rate have certain influence on the real exchange rate. The empirical results of panel data dynamic least-squares method show that government health expenditure and real exchange rate change in the same direction, both of which are positively correlated, while the change of birth rate and real exchange rate depend on specific conditions.
【作者单位】：复旦大学经济学院国际金融系;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金项目“生育率、政府健康支出和实际汇率”(71773023) 上海市哲学社会科学规划项目“财政赤字、政府税率和经济增长‘拉弗曲线’探讨”(2016BJB001)
【分类号】：C924.2;F811;F831.6

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