国防支出、经济增长与收入差异研究

发布时间：2018-06-29 18:33

本文选题：国防支出 + 经济增长　；参考：《海南大学学报(人文社会科学版)》2017年04期

【摘要】：综合考虑当期国防支出和前期国防支出对经济增长的影响,基于索洛增长理论,引入国防支出的一阶滞后,重点研究国防支出及其一阶滞后与经济增长之间的关联性。并以此为框架,以1988—2014年G20为样本,为解决收入差异造成的异质性问题,利用两步法系统GMM分别对全部G20及高收入国家、低收入国家进行面板估计,从而得到比之前研究更全面、更稳健的估计量。结果表明,高收入国家国防支出对其经济增长有短期和长期的显著的消极影响,而低收入国家短期内有消极影响,长期中又有积极作用,但两种情形下国防支出与经济增长均不存在显著的相关性。基于此,为了促进国防建设与经济建设协调发展,高收入国家可适当削减军费开支,而低收入国家应适度提高国防经费。
[Abstract]:Based on Solow's growth theory, the first order lag of defense expenditure is introduced, and the relationship between defense expenditure and economic growth is studied. In order to solve the problem of heterogeneity caused by income disparity, using GMM as a framework, the panel estimates of all G20 and high-income countries, low-income countries and low-income countries are carried out by using the two-step system GMM, taking the G20 from 1988 to 2014 as a sample, and to solve the problem of heterogeneity caused by income differences. Thus, a more comprehensive and robust estimate is obtained than the previous study. The results show that the defense expenditures of high-income countries have significant negative effects on their economic growth in the short and long term, while low-income countries have negative effects in the short term and have positive effects in the long run. However, there is no significant correlation between defense expenditure and economic growth in both cases. Therefore, in order to promote the coordinated development of national defense construction and economic construction, high-income countries can reduce military expenditure appropriately, while low-income countries should increase defense expenditure moderately.
【作者单位】：天津商业大学商学院;中国电子科技集团发展战略研究中心;
【基金】：国家社会科学基金重大项目(13&ZD162) 天津商业大学新进人员科研启动项目(R161106)
【分类号】：F124;F812.45

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