消费性财政支出效率与最优支出规模:基于经济增长的视角

发布时间：2018-11-07 17:03

【摘要】：本文构建了一个包含两种政府财政支出类型的内生增长模型,并重点分析了经济增长目标下最优的消费性支出规模。理论研究表明,政府进行适度的消费性财政支出可以发挥公共消费品的外部性功能,优化资源配置,促进经济增长;不足或过度的消费性财政支出都将会阻碍经济增长目标的实现。数值分析表明消费性财政支出与经济增长之间存在着倒"U"型关系。实证研究显示:2000—2006年间,中国三大经济地带政府消费性财政支出对于经济增长呈现显著的促进作用;但在2009—2012年间,政府消费性财政支出已接近最优支出水平,其对经济增长的促进作用有所减弱,西部地区尤其如此。本文得出如下政策启示:政府消费性财政支出存在着一个最优的支出规模,它与不同时期的经济发展状态密切相关,应依据经济发展状况优化调整消费性财政支出,以尽可能促进经济的最优增长。
[Abstract]:This paper constructs an endogenous growth model with two types of government fiscal expenditure, and analyzes the optimal consumption expenditure scale under the target of economic growth. The theoretical research shows that the government can play the external function of public consumer goods, optimize the allocation of resources and promote economic growth. Insufficient or excessive consumer spending will hinder the achievement of economic growth goals. Numerical analysis shows that there is an inverted "U" type relationship between consumer fiscal expenditure and economic growth. The empirical study shows that: from 2000 to 2006, the government consumption fiscal expenditure in the three major economic zones of China has a significant role in promoting economic growth; But between 2009 and 2012, government spending on consumer spending was close to optimal spending, and its contribution to economic growth weakened, particularly in the west. This paper draws the following policy implications: there exists an optimal scale of government consumption expenditure, which is closely related to the economic development in different periods, and should be optimized and adjusted according to the economic development situation. In order to promote the best possible economic growth.
【作者单位】：清华大学经济管理学院;中央财经大学中国精算研究院;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金“后金融危机时期中国区域经济的空间结构与区域发展”(71173132);“中国贸易增值分解与国内价值链延伸:基于全球价值链视角”(71573150);“外资股东主导下的股利分配行为:降低代理成本还是寻找提款机?”(71102125);“中国高新技术产业R&D投入对技术创新的内在驱动机制研究:结构变化;两面性与政策效应”(71303035) 清华大学自主科研项目“全球价值链:中国贸易增值分解与国内价值延伸”(Z04-1)资助
【分类号】：F812.45;F124

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