广西财政支农支出对农村居民消费的影响研究

发布时间：2019-01-01 10:42

【摘要】：如何启动消费、刺激内需关系我国经济健康持续发展,缓解农村居民消费的不足尤其关键。农村居民消费不足的最深层的原因在于农民增收困难、农村社会保障体系不完善和农村消费环境恶劣等。财政支农支出政策属于财政政策的一部分,应该在促进农民收入增长、扩大农村居民消费需求、完善农村社会保障体系、优化农村消费环境等方面有所作为。因此,研究财政支农支出对农村居民消费的影响,不仅有利于检验财政支农资金的使用效果,为财政支农政策的制定、调整提供现实支撑,而且有利于为国家充分利用财政支农的杠杆作用撬动农村居民消费提供有效的政策建议。本文在公共财政框架下,基于财政政策影响消费的作用机制,对广西财政支农支出以及农村居民消费的现状进行了详细的分析。在理论分析和现状分析的基础上,本文通过建立VAR模型,并运用在格兰杰因果检验、脉冲响应、方差分解等计量分析方法,对1980年-2012年间财政支农支出与农村居民消费的关系进行实证分析,并得出了广西财政支农支出对农村居民消费具有较为明显的“挤入效应”的结论。最后,基于理论和实证的分析,本文将就如何增强广西财政支农支出对农村居民消费的拉动作用提出相关政策措施,具体包括扩大财政支农规模、完善农民增收长效机制、加强财政支农资金管理、优化农村消费环境、健全农村社会保障制度等。
[Abstract]:How to start consumption and stimulate domestic demand is of great importance to the healthy and sustainable development of our economy and to alleviate the shortage of rural residents' consumption. The deepest reasons of rural residents' insufficient consumption lie in the difficulties of increasing farmers' income, the imperfect social security system in rural areas and the poor consumption environment in rural areas. The policy of fiscal support for agriculture is a part of the fiscal policy. It should promote the increase of farmers' income, expand the consumption demand of rural residents, perfect the rural social security system, and optimize the rural consumption environment. Therefore, the study of the impact of fiscal expenditure on the consumption of rural residents is not only conducive to testing the effect of the use of financial funds for agriculture, but also provides practical support for the formulation and adjustment of fiscal support for agriculture. Moreover, it is beneficial to provide effective policy advice for the country to make full use of the leverage of financial support for agriculture to leverage the consumption of rural residents. Under the framework of public finance, based on the mechanism of fiscal policy affecting consumption, this paper makes a detailed analysis of the current situation of fiscal support for agriculture expenditure and rural residents' consumption in Guangxi. On the basis of theoretical analysis and current situation analysis, this paper establishes the VAR model and applies it to Granger causality test, impulse response, variance decomposition and other econometric analysis methods. This paper makes an empirical analysis of the relationship between the expenditure on supporting agriculture and the consumption of rural residents from 1980 to 2012, and draws the conclusion that the expenditure of fiscal support for agriculture in Guangxi has a more obvious "crowding in effect" on rural residents' consumption. Finally, based on the theoretical and empirical analysis, this paper will put forward some relevant policies and measures on how to enhance the pulling effect of Guangxi fiscal expenditure on rural residents' consumption, including expanding the scale of fiscal support for agriculture and perfecting the long-term mechanism of increasing farmers' income. We will strengthen the management of financial support for agriculture, optimize the rural consumption environment, and improve the rural social security system.
【学位授予单位】：广西大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F812.8;F323.8

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