公共财政支出对新型城镇化与居民收入差距的影响——基于VAR模型的实证分析

发布时间：2019-05-19 12:01

【摘要】：公共财政支出作为推动城镇化的重要资金来源,是保障城镇基础设施建设,实现基本公共服务均等化的重要途径。本文通过构建财政支出与城镇化、城乡居民收入差距的实证模型,分析了财政对带动我国城镇化发展的重要支持作用。通过构建VAR模型与实证分析,结果证明:1.公共财政支出是促进我国城镇化进程的重要支撑力量,滞后一期的公共财政支出扩大1%可以促进城镇化率提高0.0375%;2.公共财政支出对城镇化的影响具有一定时滞性,财政支出在长期对城镇化率的提高作用更为明显;3.公共财政支出在短期会促进城乡收入差距扩大,但公共财政支出长期内会有助于缩小城乡收入差距,滞后二期的公共财政支出增长1%可以导致城乡收入差距减少0.7312%,加大公共财政支出是促进城乡基本公共服务均等化的重要途径。
[Abstract]:As an important source of funds to promote urbanization, public financial expenditure is an important way to ensure the construction of urban infrastructure and realize the equality of basic public services. Based on the empirical model of fiscal expenditure, urbanization and income gap between urban and rural residents, this paper analyzes the important supporting role of finance in promoting the development of urbanization in China. Through the construction of VAR model and empirical analysis, the results show that: 1. Public financial expenditure is an important supporting force to promote the process of urbanization in China. The 1% expansion of public financial expenditure lagging behind in the first phase can promote the urbanization rate by 0.0375%. The influence of public financial expenditure on urbanization has a certain delay, and the effect of fiscal expenditure on urbanization rate is more obvious in the long run. 3. Public financial expenditure will promote the widening of the urban-rural income gap in the short term, but public financial expenditure will help narrow the urban-rural income gap in the long run. The 1% growth in public financial expenditure lagging behind in the second phase can lead to a reduction of 0.7312% in the urban-rural income gap. Increasing public financial expenditure is an important way to promote the equality of basic public services in urban and rural areas.
【作者单位】：财政部财政科学研究所;
【分类号】：F812.45;F299.2;F124.7

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