我国玉米产销利益传导动力机制解析

发布时间：2018-03-09 20:00

本文选题：玉米　切入点：产销利益　出处：《经济纵横》2017年11期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：在玉米产销利益传导机制理论研究基础上,利用VAR模型,实证分析近年来我国玉米产销利益传导机制,从而为玉米产业去库存、调结构提供理论支撑。研究显示,2008~2015年我国玉米产销利益传导不顺畅,"需求倒逼"的动力机制在批发环节表现显著,但不能及时传递到生产环节,"批发扩散"的动力机制总体表现为滞后期长和低效率,"供给推动"的动力机制效果不明显;玉米生产和零售环节的利益波动具有比较强烈的"惯性效应"。应加速提升玉米产销各环节的组织化程度,健全市场机制促进玉米产销联动;科学设置补贴制度,促进玉米饲用和工业消费用量增长;构建粮食企业现代市场营销体系,提升粮食企业营销能力;构建系统化的玉米交易信息平台,促进玉米产销环节资源合理配置。
[Abstract]:On the basis of the theoretical research on the transmission mechanism of maize production and marketing, this paper makes an empirical analysis of the mechanism of interest transmission of maize production and marketing in China in recent years by using the VAR model, so as to destock the maize industry. The research shows that the transmission of corn production and marketing benefits is not smooth in China from 2008 to 2015, and the dynamic mechanism of "demand inversion" is obvious in the wholesale sector. However, the dynamic mechanism of "wholesale diffusion" can not be transmitted to the production link in time. The dynamic mechanism of "wholesale diffusion" is characterized by lag and inefficiency, and the effect of "supply-driven" dynamic mechanism is not obvious. The fluctuation of the benefits of corn production and retail has a strong "inertia effect". It is necessary to accelerate the promotion of the degree of organization of corn production and marketing links, improve the market mechanism and promote corn production and marketing linkage, and scientifically set up a subsidy system. To promote the growth of corn feed and industrial consumption; to build a modern marketing system of grain enterprises to enhance the marketing capacity of grain enterprises; to build a systematic corn trading information platform to promote the rational allocation of corn production and marketing links resources.
【作者单位】：西南大学经济管理学院;重庆大学经济与工商管理学院;
【基金】：国家社会科学基金重大项目“互联网+生鲜农产品供应链渠道建设中的政府作用与政策研究”(编号:15ZDB169);国家社会科学基金西部项目“农产品价格波动的纵向分配效应及产销利益协调机制研究”(编号:14XJY026) 教育部人文社会科学研究项目“基于产业链主体的粮食价格波动分配效应及粮农利益保护机制研究”(编号:14YJC790162) 中央高校基本科研基金重大培育项目“互联网+生鲜农产品供应链稳定性研究”(编号:SWU1709209) 重庆市社会科学规划青年项目“重庆蔬菜价格波动的影响因素及调控对策研究”(编号:2013QNJJ17)的成果
【分类号】：F323.7;F326.11

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