基于系统动力分析的低碳工程项目建设政府激励机制研究

发布时间：2018-03-18 02:10

本文选题：低碳　切入点：系统动力分析　出处：《沈阳工业大学》2017年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：气候变暖问题是世界上长久以来重视的问题,如今,由于气候变暖造成的不良环境使全人类的活动以及存活面临着严峻的挑战。造成温室效应的大部分原因是因为人们焚烧燃料产生的二氧化碳等气体,人类的生存活动非常显著的导致了温室效应。建筑行业的温室气体排放已经非常严重,占到了我国整体排放的50%,所以研究低碳工程项目建设市场还是非常必要的。建筑行业的低碳程度可以使建筑的建材、材料制造、技术等项目向更低的低碳程度趋近。开发低碳工程项目能够为建设资源节约型、环境友好型社会做出贡献,能够减少温室气体排放等污染,保护环境,为居民营造一个健康舒适的生存环境。本文在对国内外关于低碳工程项目现状以及动态做了详尽的分析,并结合了系统动力分析理论、演化博弈理论,对低碳工程项目中政府对于开发商以及消费者的激励措施做出了初步的探索,给出了政府的激励措施。本文首先分析了低碳工程项目的利益相关者,包括政府、开发商、消费者等。建立了低碳工程项目的开发商、消费者以及政府的系统动力分析子系统,之后将三者结合,合成低碳工程项目的整体存量流量图,并采用Vensim PLE系统动力学分析软件,对模型进行模拟仿真,得出政府的激励政策对低碳工程项目的发展非常关键。之后采用演化博弈理论,进行政府与开发商群体以及政府和消费者群体内部的博弈,给出政府对开发商和消费者群体的激励措施。对于开发商的激励措施有财政激励手段,包括减少土地出让金、减免税收、放宽贷款条件,发展低碳项目产业链,增加技术科研投入,包括加大科研奖励、开展技术革新、进行产学研合作,规范开发商行为等;对消费者的激励手段包括财政激励、加强低碳项目宣传、设立信息公开机制等。本文从系统动力分析的角度出发,探寻政府对于促进低碳工程项目发展的激励措施,探寻政府应如何科学的使用政策工具,用最低的信息成本设计合理的激励措施的方法,为政府对于推广低碳工程项目建设设计激励措施提供科学合理的方法与依据。
[Abstract]:Global warming has long been an important issue in the world. The adverse environment caused by climate change poses serious challenges to human activity and survival. Much of the reason for Greenhouse Effect is that people burn gases such as carbon dioxide from burning fuel. Human survival is a significant cause of Greenhouse Effect. Greenhouse gas emissions from the construction industry are already very high. It accounts for 50 percent of the total emissions in our country, so it is very necessary to study the construction market for low-carbon projects. The low carbon level of the construction industry can enable building materials and materials to be manufactured. The development of low-carbon engineering projects can contribute to the construction of resource-efficient and environment-friendly societies, reduce pollution such as greenhouse gas emissions, and protect the environment. This paper makes a detailed analysis of the current situation and dynamics of low-carbon engineering projects at home and abroad, and combines the theory of system dynamic analysis and evolutionary game theory. This paper makes a preliminary exploration on the incentives of the government for developers and consumers in low-carbon engineering projects, and gives the incentives of the government. Firstly, this paper analyzes the stakeholders of low-carbon projects, including the government, developers, and so on. Consumers et al. have set up the system dynamic analysis subsystem of low carbon project developer, consumer and government, then combine the three to synthesize the whole stock flow chart of low carbon engineering project, and adopt Vensim PLE system dynamics analysis software, The simulation of the model shows that the government's incentive policy is very critical to the development of low-carbon engineering projects. Then the evolutionary game theory is used to carry out the game between the government and the developer group as well as between the government and the consumer group. Give the government incentives for developers and consumer groups. Incentives for developers include reducing land sales, tax breaks, loosening loan conditions, developing a low-carbon project industry chain. Increasing investment in technological research, including increasing incentives for scientific research, carrying out technological innovation, carrying out industry-university-research cooperation, standardizing the behavior of developers, and so on; encouraging consumers to include financial incentives, strengthening the promotion of low-carbon projects, From the point of view of system dynamic analysis, this paper explores the government's incentive measures to promote the development of low-carbon engineering projects, and explores how the government should use policy tools scientifically. The method of designing reasonable incentive measures with the lowest information cost provides a scientific and reasonable method and basis for the government to popularize the incentive measures for the construction design of low carbon engineering projects.
【学位授予单位】：沈阳工业大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：D630;F426.92

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