重大决策社会稳定风险评估机制反思与完善——基于30起环境群体性事件的实证分析

发布时间：2018-07-20 20:21

【摘要】：社会稳定风险评估作为重大决策的前置程序,目的是减少风险事件发生,实现风险源头治理。将风险事件操作化为实地群体性事件与网络群体性事件,将社会稳定风险评估操作化为公民参与及专家论证,以风险事件规模测量社会稳定风险评估效果,实证分析重大决策社会稳定风险评估的质量。结果发现,从2005年至2016年,公民参与规模提高对网络群体性事件与实地群体性事件的规模减小均有显著影响,而专家论证则对实地群体性事件的规模减小无显著影响。这表明,理论上社会稳定风险评估的总体发展方向正确,但实践中公民参与及专家论证远未达到应有效果。政府应站在中立角度,保证尽量多的公民参与决策制定并充分尊重专家论证结果,从而增强公民风险认知与理性判断能力,实现社会风险源头治理。
[Abstract]:Social stability risk assessment, as a leading procedure of major decision-making, aims to reduce the occurrence of risk events and achieve risk source management. The operation of risk events is transformed into group events and network events in the field, and the risk assessment of social stability is transformed into citizen participation and expert argumentation, and the effectiveness of risk assessment of social stability is measured by the scale of risk events. Empirical analysis of the quality of social stability risk assessment of major decision-making. The results show that from 2005 to 2016, the increase of the scale of citizen participation has a significant impact on both the scale of network group events and field group events, while the expert demonstration has no significant effect on the scale of field group events. This shows that the overall development direction of social stability risk assessment is correct in theory, but in practice citizen participation and expert demonstration are far from achieving the desired results. The government should stand on the neutral angle, ensure that as many citizens participate in decision-making and fully respect the results of expert argumentation, so as to enhance the citizens' ability of risk cognition and rational judgment, and realize the management of social risks at the source.
【作者单位】：西南政法大学中国社会稳定与危机管理研究中心;
【基金】：中国法学会部级法学研究课题“重大行政决策风险评估机制优化研究”(编号:CLS(2014)C12) 重庆市科研创新项目“大数据视角下重大决策社会稳定风险评估的困境及其机制重构研究”(编号:CYS16111)
【分类号】：D63

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