我国地方政府债务规模及风险化解研究

发布时间：2018-12-08 21:42

【摘要】：近年来，受全球性金融危机影响，越来越多发展中国家的地方政府财政和债务可持续性开始面临威胁。我国政府债务特别是地方政府债务的风险与管理在国际金融经济波动的背景下，也得到了诸多学者的关注。尽管在2010年，我国国务院下发了针对地方融资平台债务管理的19号文件，但收效甚微。在目前国际债务危机日益严重的情形下，如何控制和化解地方政府债务规模及其风险，使地方政府债务风险处于良性可控水平，以提高政府的债务风险管理水平和能力，保持地方政府经济健康发展是最重要的也是最当务之急的问题,也是本论文的研究的宗旨所在。基于这样的背景，，本文首先从三个方面梳理了对地方政府债务风险的古典到新古典以及现代经济学的认识发展的过程，介绍了凯恩斯主义国债理论和风险理论。其次分析了中国地方债务的历史及现状，探讨了我国地方债务的成因与地方债务风险形成机理，最后重点探讨了我国地方政府债务风险表现以及规模适度准则，并提出了建立地方政府债务整体管理框架，防范风险的累积和迭加，完善现有监管模式以保证债务运行安全有效引入市政债创新政绩考评机制，利用民间资本缓解支出压力，分散地方债务风险的对策和建议。
[Abstract]:In recent years, affected by the global financial crisis, more and more developing countries' local government fiscal and debt sustainability are under threat. The risk and management of Chinese government debt, especially local government debt, has been concerned by many scholars under the background of international financial and economic fluctuation. Although in 2010, the State Council issued a local financing platform debt management document 19, but with little effect. In the current international debt crisis, how to control and resolve the local government debt scale and its risk, make the local government debt risk in a benign controllable level, in order to improve the debt risk management level and ability of the government. Maintaining the healthy development of local government economy is the most important and most urgent issue, and is also the purpose of this paper. Based on this background, this paper first combs the process of understanding and development of local government debt risk from three aspects: classical to neoclassical and modern economics, and introduces Keynesian treasury bond theory and risk theory. Secondly, it analyzes the history and present situation of Chinese local debt, probes into the causes of local debt and the formation mechanism of local debt risk, and finally probes into the performance of local government debt risk and the criterion of appropriate scale. It also proposes to establish the overall management framework of local government debt, to prevent the accumulation and superposition of risks, to perfect the existing supervision mode to ensure the safety and effectiveness of debt operation and to introduce the innovative performance evaluation mechanism of municipal debt, and to use private capital to alleviate the expenditure pressure. Countermeasures and suggestions for dispersing local debt risks.
【学位授予单位】：河南大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2012
【分类号】：F812.5

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