不同类属普通高校财政配置结构的均衡问题研究

发布时间：2018-02-28 06:22

本文关键词： 不同类属普通高校财政配置结构均衡协整　出处：《黑龙江高教研究》2017年07期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：由于我国高校财政的倾斜性投入机制,不同类属院校的财政投资规模及生均经费支出均呈现非均衡配置,在一定程度上影响教育公平。利用1995-2014年时间序列数据,通过协整、误差修正模型找出我国不同类属普通高校财政投资总规模比例与在校生规模占比、生均经费占比间的长期均衡与短期动态关系,运用Holter-Winter非季节模型对2015-2020年中央直属高校经费占比的可行区间进行预测。研究发现:(1)脉冲函数显示在校生规模占比对财政投资总规模比例的冲击响应的滞后期较长且是非渐近性的;(2)生均经费占比对财政投资总规模比例的预测方差较在校生规模占比贡献度小;(3)2015-2020年间,若中央直属高校在校生规模占比在0.069-0.054间变动,生均经费占比在1.787-1.612水平变动,则中央直属高校财政经费总规模的可行区间为0.3132-0.2814,由此提出进一步优化高等教育财政投资配置结构的政策建议。
[Abstract]:Because of the inclined investment mechanism of university finance in our country, the scale of financial investment and the average expenditure of students in different kinds of colleges and universities are all disequilibrium allocation, which to some extent affect the education fairness. Using the time series data of 1995-2014, through cointegration, the financial investment scale and the average expenditure of students of different kinds of colleges and universities are disequilibrium. The error correction model finds out the long-term equilibrium and short-term dynamic relationship between the proportion of total scale of financial investment and the proportion of students' scale and the proportion of students' average expenditure in different kinds of colleges and universities in China. By using the Holter-Winter non-seasonal model, the feasible interval of the proportion of funds in the central colleges and universities from 2015 to 2020 is predicted. It is found that the impulse function shows that the impact response of the proportion of students' size to the total scale of financial investment is longer than that of the latter. Moreover, the variance of the forecast variance of the proportion of the average expenditure to the total scale of financial investment is smaller than that of the students in the period 2015-2020. If the proportion of students in universities directly under the central government changes in the range of 0.069-0.054, the proportion of students' average expenditure changes at the level of 1.787-1.612. The feasible range of the total scale of the financial funds of the universities directly under the central government is 0.3132-0.2814. therefore, some policy suggestions are put forward to further optimize the structure of the financial investment allocation of higher education.
【作者单位】：北京师范大学教育经济研究所;北京师范大学中国基础教育质量监测协同中心;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金面上项目“‘后4%时代’中国高等教育财政投资规模与配置结构研究”(编号:71573020)
【分类号】：G649.2

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