2016—2030年中国城乡义务教育师资需求预测

发布时间：2018-01-07 09:11

本文关键词：2016—2030年中国城乡义务教育师资需求预测　出处：《东北师大学报(哲学社会科学版)》2017年01期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：从数量上看,师资需求是在校学生数与生师比的函数。2016—2030年义务教育师资需求预测要基于在校生数预测与生师比研究两个工作完成。在义务教育进入全面普及时期,在校生数量往往大于学龄人口数量,预测在校生数量要考虑学龄人口数量变化与毛入学率这个参数。在假定课程开设量基本相同与师资可以充裕供给的情况下,生师比的确定直接受到学生数量与班级规模的影响。政策上确定班级规模受到人口分布、经济发展水平、班级规模对教育质量影响的认识等多重因素的影响。在科学预测在校学生数以及充分考虑政策上的可行性、合理性确定生师比之后,可以预测义务教育师资需求,并基于现有教师规模与年龄结构,预测在不同年段需要补充的师资。
[Abstract]:Look from the number of teachers, teachers demand is the demand function.2016 2030 compulsory education and the number of students and teacher students to complete the prediction of the number of students and the student teacher ratio of two prediction work. Based on into the universal compulsory education period, the number of students is often greater than the number of school-age population, forecast the number of students to consider the number of school-age population changes and the gross enrollment rate of the parameters. In the same basic courses and teachers can assume the supply situation, determine the ratio of students to teachers is directly influenced by the number of students and class size. The policy is determined by the class size distribution of population, economic development level, effect of class size on the quality of education and understanding of multiple factors. The number of students in the scientific prediction and consideration of the feasibility of the policy, after determining whether the ratio of students to teachers, teachers can predict the compulsory education The requirements, and based on the existing teacher size and age structure, predict teachers who need to be supplemented in different years.

【作者单位】：教育部人文社会科学重点研究基地东北师范大学中国农村教育发展研究院;南京大学教育经济与管理研究所;
【基金】：国家社会科学基金教育学重点课题(AFA150007)
【分类号】：G525.1
【正文快照】： 从理论上讲,义务教育师资需求是学生数量与生师比的函数,义务教育师资需求会随着在校生数量与生师比政策规定的变化而变化。一般来说,在一个国家(或一个区域),在校生数量越多,所需要的教师越多,生师比越小所需要的教师越多。基于这一认识,我们认为未来中国义务教育师资需求研

【参考文献】