篮球球队风格量化评价模型的建立和应用研究

发布时间：2018-01-10 08:12

本文关键词：篮球球队风格量化评价模型的建立和应用研究　出处：《太原理工大学》2015年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：本文通过对篮球球队风格模型的量化为目标,从目前关于篮球球队风格的存在的问题入手,以第十四届CUBA男子十六强比赛数据为研究对象。运用文献资料法、专家访谈法等研究方法,确定模型体系的理论基础,同时借助统计学中的因子分析构建量化评价球队风格模型、并以球队为样本建立与比赛胜负相关的logistic回归进行实证研究,实现以不同球队为着眼点风格模型的定性与定量评价,为全面的了解一支球队提供了一种全新的视角。主要结论如下： 1、通过探索性因子分析法建立指标体系。结果显示：篮球球队风格量化评价可以从F1(进攻实力)、F2(进攻节奏)、F3(防守效果)、F4(防守质量)、F5(进攻选择)五个维度进行分析。 2、通过logical回归模型分析,在模型的拟合优度的检验中,太原理工大学球队五个纬度对于球队胜负贡献度为：F1(1.3131)F3(0.9407)F4(0.8840)F2(0.2788)F5(0.1813),浙江大学的贡献度为：F1(0.9157)F3(0.8991)F4(0.8211)F5(0.3351)F2(0.0428)。在模型的拟合优度的检验中,太原理工大学和浙江大学的检验结果分别为：Likelihood Ratio的为17.14、14.8898,P值为0.()()42、0.0211均小于0.05。表示所选因素指标能够很好的解释变量。 3、将模型5个维度因素对球队胜利的影响程度进行公式处理,量化的指标的雷达图比较显示：两支球队风格模型存在差异,进一步通过数据比较的深入研究可知,在F1、F3、F5维度上差异明显,F2、F4维度差异较小。 4、文献理论研究中，，影响球队形成的因素有：运动员的特质、明星球员的作用、教练员的作用、球队管理特点、赛制的相对变化、球队的相互竞争、篮球发展的趋势等七个方面。
[Abstract]:This article through the basketball team style model quantification as the goal, starts with the present existence question about the basketball team style. Taking the data of the 14th CUBA men's 16 strong competition as the object of study, the theoretical basis of the model system is determined by using the methods of literature, expert interview and other research methods. At the same time, using factor analysis in statistics to build a quantitative evaluation of team style model, and take the team as a sample to establish a logistic regression related to the game to conduct empirical research. The qualitative and quantitative evaluation of different teams' style models provides a new perspective for a comprehensive understanding of a team. The main conclusions are as follows: 1. The index system was established by exploratory factor analysis. The results showed that the quantitative evaluation of basketball team style could be made from F1 (offensive strength) (offensive rhythm / F3). The five dimensions of F 4 (defensive quality) and F 5 (attack selection) were analyzed. 2, through the logical regression model analysis, in the model goodness of fit test. The contribution of the five latitudes of Taiyuan University of Technology to the team's victory and loss is 1: F1, 1.3131, F3, 0.9407, F4, 0.8840, F2, 0.2788, F5 (. 0.1813). The contribution of Zhejiang University is as follows: F1: 0. 9157, F3: 0. 899 1, F4, 0. 8211, F5, 0. 3351, F2, 0. 0428). In the test of the goodness of fit of the model. The test results of Taiyuan University of Science and Technology and Zhejiang University were 17.14 ~ 14.8898P = 17.14 ~ 14.889 ~ (8) ~ (42), respectively. 0.0211 is less than 0.05, indicating that the selected factor indicators can explain the variables well. 3. The influence degree of the five dimension factors of the model on the victory of the team is dealt with by formula. The comparison of the radar images of the quantitative indexes shows that there are differences between the two teams' style models. Through the further study of data comparison, we can see that the difference in F1F3F5 dimension is obvious and F2F4 dimension is smaller. 4. In the research of literature theory, the factors that influence the formation of the team are: the characteristics of players, the role of star players, the role of coaches, the characteristics of team management, the relative changes of competition system, and the competition between teams. Basketball development trend and other seven aspects.
【学位授予单位】：太原理工大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2015
【分类号】：G841

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