高职教育与经济增长——基于中国的经验证据:2004-2013

发布时间：2018-09-09 20:40

【摘要】：基于教育统计数据,沿用Uzawa的分析框架,采用协整分析、VECM分析和Granger因果检验等方法,本文对我国高职教育投入与经济增长进行因果检验,研究发现,高职教育投入及就业规模,与工业发展存在显著双向因果关系;与整体经济增长、第三产业发展双向因果关系不显著,但经济增长和第三产业发展对于高职教育投入存在正向激励,高职教育对工业发展与第三产业发展存在就业偏向。这为当前阶段增加高职教育投入、扩大高职教育规模、丰富教育类型并以此促进产业发展,尤其促进工业发展的观点提供了实证依据。
[Abstract]:Based on the statistical data of education, using the analysis frame of Uzawa, using the methods of cointegration analysis and Granger causality test, this paper makes a causality test on the investment of higher vocational education and economic growth in China, and finds out that the investment in higher vocational education and the scale of employment. There is a significant bidirectional causality relationship with industrial development, but there is a positive incentive for higher vocational education input by economic growth and tertiary industry development, while there is no significant bidirectional causality relationship with the overall economic growth, but the tertiary industry development has a positive incentive to higher vocational education investment. The higher vocational education has the employment bias to the industrial development and the tertiary industry development. This provides an empirical basis for increasing the investment in higher vocational education, expanding the scale of higher vocational education, enriching the types of education and promoting the industrial development, especially the industrial development.
【作者单位】：南昌大学中国中部经济社会发展研究中心;
【基金】：江西省哲学社科重点研究基地规划项目“新常态下江西融入长江经济带的产业发展研究”(项目编号:15SKJD05) 教育部人文社科重点研究基地招标项目“中部地区产业竞争力评价、比较与对策”(项目编号:15ZBLPS04)资助
【分类号】：G719.2;F124.1

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