资金约束下订单农业供应链中的农户最优决策

发布时间：2017-12-28 21:33

本文关键词：资金约束下订单农业供应链中的农户最优决策　出处：《系统工程理论与实践》2017年06期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：考虑农户受资金约束以及产出随机性,构建由单个农户和单个公司组成的订单农业供应链决策模型.在对比分析无资金约束下农户最优决策基础上,分别研究资金约束下不同情形(情形1:农户不存在破产风险;情形2:农户存在破产风险)中的农户最优决策,并得了到资金约束下农户最优决策的选择策略.研究表明:1)价格弹性系数可显著影响资金约束下的农户最优期望利润.2)调节贷款利率,可使资金约束下情形2中的农户最优生产投入量达到无资金约束下的最优水平.3)丰收年产出因子与贷款利率是影响农户最优决策选择的关键因素:①当丰收年产出因子低时,农户将选择情形1的最优决策,且与贷款利率无关;②当丰收年产出因子高时,低(高)的贷款利率会使农户选择情形1(情形2)的最优决策.
[Abstract]:Considering the funding constraints and the output randomness of farmers, build order agriculture supply chain decision model composed of individual farmers and individual companies. After comparing and analyzing farmers' optimal decision without capital constraints, capital constraints were studied in different situations (1: farmers do not exist in the risk of bankruptcy; 2: farmers bankruptcy risk) farmers the optimal decision, and had to choose the optimal decision strategy of farmers under capital constraint. The research indicates that: 1) the price elasticity coefficient of farmers' optimal expected profits.2 capital constraints affect the loan interest rate adjustment), farmers can make optimal production inputs and capital constraint situation 2 reached without capital constraint optimal the level of.3) harvest annual output factor and loan interest rate is a key factor affecting farmers' optimal decision choice: when the harvest year output factor is low, farmers will choose the best 1. Decision making has nothing to do with the loan interest rate; (2) when the harvest year output factor is high, the low (high) loan interest rate will make the best decision of the farmer's choice situation 1 (case 2).
【作者单位】：华南理工大学工商管理学院;广东农工商职业技术学院管理系;广东工业大学管理学院;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金(71471066) 教育部人文社会科学研究青年基金项目(15YJC630037);教育部新世纪项目(NECT-13-0219) 广东省软科学项目(2014A070703004)~~
【分类号】：F224.3;F324
【正文快照】： i引言农业是中国重要的基础产业,由于农产品市场价格和自然环境等因素影响,农产品产销中出现了“小生产,大市场”行业性问题.现代农业,尤其是订单农业的出现,在一定程度上缓解了此问题.订单农业是近年来出现的一种新型的先进农业生产经营模式,是中国农业产业化进程中农户与公

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