中国收缩城市存在生产率悖论吗——基于人口总量和分布的分析

发布时间：2018-01-05 20:13

本文关键词：中国收缩城市存在生产率悖论吗——基于人口总量和分布的分析　出处：《经济学动态》2017年01期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：以人口流失为核心特征的城市收缩现象普遍存在。国外学者对城市收缩现象进行了深入分析,而中国的相关研究才刚刚起步。本文利用两次人口普查数据,识别了我国的收缩城市,并利用2000-2007年工业企业数据库,从微观层面观察收缩城市企业TFP的变化。研究发现:与国外收缩案例的情况相反,我国收缩城市企业TFP高于非收缩城市,本文称之为我国收缩城市生产率"悖论"。结合快速城镇化过程中人口重新分布的大背景,本文进一步界定我国"狭义的收缩城市",在此基础上发现:"狭义的收缩城市"集聚经济明显下降,且由于劳动力流动具有自我选择性,造成当地企业TFP水平降低。这一结论有助于加深对我国城市发展过程的认知,并对城市体系的健康发展提供政策启示。
[Abstract]:The phenomenon of urban contraction with population loss as the core exists widely. Foreign scholars have carried out in-depth analysis of the phenomenon of urban contraction, but the relevant research in China has just started. This paper uses the data of two censuses. This paper identifies the shrinking cities in China and observes the changes of the TFP of the shrinking urban enterprises from the microscopic level by using the industrial enterprise database from 2000 to 2007. The study finds that the situation is opposite to that of the foreign cases of contraction. The TFP of contractile urban enterprises in China is higher than that in non-contractile cities. This paper calls it the "paradox" of productivity of contractile cities in our country, combining with the background of population redistribution in the process of rapid urbanization. On the basis of the definition of "narrow shrink city" in China, this paper finds that the "narrow contract city" agglomeration economy is obviously declining, and the labor flow has self-selectivity. This conclusion is helpful to deepen the understanding of the process of urban development in China and provide policy inspiration for the healthy development of urban system.
【作者单位】：上海财经大学国际工商管理学院;上海财经大学城市与区域科学学院;
【基金】：国家社科基金重大项目“新型城镇化背景下城市边界调整与城市综合承载力提升路径研究”(14ZDB138) 国家自然科学基金项目“交通网络城市聚集对城市群经济增长的作用机制研究与模型化解释:以长三角城市群为例”(71473160) 上海财经大学创新团队支持计划的阶段性成果
【分类号】：C912.81;F299.2
【正文快照】： 一、引言通常意义上,城市收缩被认为是人口密集区域发生的持续人口流失现象(Oswalt,2005;TurokMykhnenko,2007;SchillingLogan,2008)。自1988年H錬uβermannSiebel首次提出“收缩城市”(Shrinking City)一词以来,国外学者以德、英、美、日等国家的城市个案分析为主,描述了

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