国际物流绩效的贸易效应分析——基于Heckman模型的实证检验

发布时间：2018-01-06 11:46

本文关键词：国际物流绩效的贸易效应分析——基于Heckman模型的实证检验　出处：《中国流通经济》2017年10期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：采用扩展的引力模型分析100个国家与地区2013年国际物流绩效的贸易效应,赫克曼模型回归结果表明:第一,国际物流绩效显著地提高双边贸易流量,且出口国的国际物流绩效系数高于进口国系数,采用不同的回归方法以及按照经济体水平分类实证研究表明这一结论具有稳健性;按照地区分类的最小二乘法回归表明,国际物流绩效显著促进了双边贸易流量,而拉丁美洲与加勒比地区国际物流绩效对贸易有负面影响。第二,国际物流绩效分项指标回归显示:出口国的海关效率、物流基础设施、物流发展水平对双边贸易具有显著的正向作用;进口国的海关效率在不同经济体、不同地区之间的显著性存在差异,尤其是欧洲中亚地区进口方的海关效率系数为负数,而亚太经合组织区域内的海关效率显著为正数。
[Abstract]:Using the extended gravity model to analyze the trade effect of international logistics performance of 100 countries and regions in 2013, the regression results of Heckman model show that: first, the performance of international logistics significantly improves bilateral trade flows. The international logistics performance coefficient of exporting countries is higher than that of importing countries. The empirical research on different regression methods and classification according to the level of economy shows that this conclusion is robust. The least square regression according to regional classification shows that international logistics performance significantly promotes bilateral trade flows, while Latin America and the Caribbean region has a negative impact on trade. Second. The regression of sub-index of international logistics performance shows that the customs efficiency, logistics infrastructure and logistics development level of exporting countries have significant positive effects on bilateral trade; There are significant differences in customs efficiency among different economies and regions in importing countries, especially in Europe and Central Asia, where the coefficient of customs efficiency is negative. Customs efficiency in the APEC region is significantly positive.
【作者单位】：上海健康医学院健康信息技术与管理学院;浙江经济职业技术学院;
【基金】：教育部人文社会科学研究规划基金“绿色技术外溢与‘中国制造’在GVC的攀升:理论与实证”(16YJA790060) 浙江省自然科学基金项目“绿色技术外溢效应与‘中国制造’升级研究——基于国际垂直专业化视角”(LY17G030009)
【分类号】：F259.1
【正文快照】： 一、引言随着世界各国关税率的下降,关税减让的余地逐步缩小。然而,在“边界上”“边界内”和“跨边界”仍然存在诸如海关程序烦琐、跨境贸易规则不透明、基础设施落后等诸多贸易障碍,使得国际贸易交易成本居高不下。在这种情形下,贸易便利化措施引起了决策者的关注,且被视为

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