基于演化博弈分析的被动式住宅开发激励研究

发布时间：2018-01-14 23:22

本文关键词：基于演化博弈分析的被动式住宅开发激励研究　出处：《土木工程与管理学报》2017年05期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：被动式住宅规模化发展是住宅产业的必然趋势。被动式住宅开发作为主要的提供方式之一,其实施动力决定被动式住宅的供应规模和质量。本文以政府、开发商和消费者作为博弈参与主体,分析并选取影响政府与开发商群体收益的损益变量,运用演化博弈理论构建有限理性条件下消费者参与的政府和开发商群体的开发激励演化博弈模型,通过求解政府与开发商群体演化博弈的复制动态方程组及对雅克比矩阵均衡点稳定性的判定,绘制出鞍点在不同位置的演化趋势图及演化博弈相位图,并得出政府、开发商和消费者的演化博弈趋势及损益变量变化对策略选择的影响,通过实证分析证实博弈模型的有效性,为政府制定激励政策提供参考,促进被动式住宅的规模化发展。
[Abstract]:Passive housing development is an inevitable trend of the housing industry. Passive housing development as one of the main ways of providing, its implementation power determines the size and quality of passive housing supply. Developers and consumers as the main players in the game, analyze and select the profit and loss variables that affect the income of the government and developers. The evolutionary game theory is used to construct the evolutionary game model of the government and developer groups which consumers participate in under the condition of limited rationality. By solving the replicating dynamic equations of evolution game between government and developer and judging the stability of Jacobian matrix equilibrium point, the evolution trend map of saddle point in different position and the phase map of evolution game are drawn. And the evolution of the government, developers and consumers of the evolution of game trends and changes in profit and loss variables on the impact of strategy selection, through empirical analysis to verify the effectiveness of the game model, for the government to formulate incentive policies to provide a reference. To promote the development of passive housing on a large scale.
【作者单位】：东北林业大学土木工程学院;
【基金】：国家重点研发计划项目(十三五课题)(2016YFC0701600)
【分类号】：F293.3
【正文快照】： 随着近几年中国城镇化进程的加快,新建建筑不断增多,建筑耗能占据资源消耗总量的比重逐年增加,合理地控制和减少建筑耗能,是实现节能减排的重点[1],被动式建筑也由此产生,但被动式建筑在我国起步较晚,技术水平与国外发达国家相差甚远,截至2015年底,全世界已经建成了超过37000

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