中国房地产价格区域差异实证研究

发布时间：2018-01-20 07:35

本文关键词： 房地产价格人均收入银行信贷城镇化率土地价格　出处：《未来与发展》2017年04期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：由于经济基础不同,国内房地产市场发展很不平衡,房价在各地区间呈现显著的差异性,故仅以全国为单位去分析房价是有失偏颇的。本文应用1999—2013年全国29个省市的面板数据,分东部、中部和西部分别进行实证研究,试图找出我国房地产价格波动的区域差异,结果表明,西部地区房价依赖人均收入水平的程度最高,说明西部房价很大程度上依赖于经济水平的发展。中部地区房价受银行信贷的影响最大,超过了人均收入和土地价格对该地区房价的影响,说明正在向中部地区蔓延的的金融行业发展势头正盛,有效的刺激了房地产市场供给和需求。东部地区房价受人均收入的影响最大,可能是由于较高的收入水平导致一部分投资投机需求出现,导致房价非理性增长。
[Abstract]:Because of the different economic base, the development of the domestic real estate market is very unbalanced, the house prices in different regions show significant differences. Therefore, it is biased to analyze the housing prices only in the whole country. This paper uses the panel data of 29 provinces and cities from 1999 to 2013 to carry out empirical research in the east, the middle and the west respectively. This paper tries to find out the regional difference of real estate price fluctuation in China. The results show that the west region is the most dependent on the level of per capita income. It shows that the housing prices in the west largely depend on the development of the economic level. The central region is most affected by bank credit, which exceeds the impact of per capita income and land prices on the housing prices in this region. It shows that the financial industry which is spreading to the central region is developing rapidly, effectively stimulating the supply and demand of the real estate market. The housing prices in the eastern region are most affected by the per capita income. This may be due to higher income levels leading to a portion of speculative investment demand, leading to irrational increases in house prices.
【作者单位】：运城学院经济管理系;
【基金】：山西省教育科学规划课题(课题编号:GH-16082)
【分类号】：F299.23
【正文快照】： 0引言改革开放以来,我国的房地产业得到了快速繁荣的发展,现已成为国民经济的重要支柱产业。统计数据显示,1998—2014年,房地产业增加值从3434.5亿元发展为38 166.6亿元,占GDP的比重从4%增加到6%,房地产业从业人数从82.59万人增加到276万人。由于国内房地产市场异常红火,房价

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