基于灰色数据包络分析法的水运低碳竞争力动态评价模型

发布时间：2018-01-20 12:19

本文关键词： 水运低碳竞争力动态评价评价指标灰关联分析法数据包络分析法　出处：《环境污染与防治》2017年11期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：水运低碳发展的目标,一是促进水运业的有序发展,二是降低碳排放。因此核心科学问题是提高水运低碳竞争力。目前,国内外对水运低碳竞争力研究未有完善的理论与方法体系。鉴于此,从运输、排放和效率的视角入手,基于数据可获性、可比性、兼顾完备性与简明性、动态性等基本原则,构建水运低碳竞争力评价指标体系。该指标体系包括3个一级指标,分别是运输生产能力、总量控制能力和效率提升能力。借鉴灰关联分析法和数据包络分析法,建立水运低碳竞争力动态评价模型。运用该模型以2007—2014年江苏省水运业为研究对象,对其低碳竞争力水平进行评价分析,在此基础上构建水运低碳发展的钻石结构框架,其研究成果能为江苏省水运低碳发展战略提供决策依据。
[Abstract]:The aim of the development of low carbon transport is to promote the orderly development of the shipping industry and to reduce carbon emissions. Therefore, the core scientific issue is to improve the competitiveness of low carbon water transport. There is no perfect theory and method system to study the low carbon competitiveness of water transportation at home and abroad. In view of this, from the perspective of transport, emissions and efficiency, based on data availability, comparability, completeness and conciseness. The evaluation index system of low carbon competitiveness of water transportation is constructed according to the basic principles of dynamics and so on. The index system includes three primary indexes, which are the capacity of transportation production. Total control ability and efficiency enhancement ability. Use grey correlation analysis and data envelopment analysis for reference. The dynamic evaluation model of low carbon competitiveness of water transportation is established, and the low carbon competitiveness level of Jiangsu water transportation industry from 2007 to 2014 is evaluated and analyzed by using this model. On this basis, the diamond structure framework of low carbon development in water transportation is constructed, and the research results can provide the decision basis for the low carbon development strategy of water transport in Jiangsu Province.
【作者单位】：南京大学政府管理学院江苏绿色发展研究基地;南京交通职业技术学院;南京交院交通节能减排技术有限公司;
【基金】：江苏高校哲学社会科学研究基金项目“基于PSR方法的江苏省低碳交通管理策略研究”(No.2017SJB0612) 中国博士后科学基金面上资助项目(No.2017M611760) 江苏省博士后科研资助计划项目(No.1601133C)
【分类号】：F224;F552.7
【正文快照】： 作为我国能源消费和碳排放大户的交通运输业已被列为我国节能减排工作的重点,是绿色、循环、低碳发展的重要内容。随着以流域开发为主导的发展得到更多重视,水运发展进一步加快,水运低碳化发展也将得到更多理论及实践的关注。虽然,近年来我国水运事业取得一定的成绩,但节能减

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