基于市场潜能的城市经济增长空间格局及溢出效应

发布时间：2018-01-29 01:25

本文关键词： 市场潜能经济增长空间自相关空间溢出效应　出处：《地理科学》2017年11期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：基于新经济地理学理论,定量分析中国285个地级市的市场潜能及其空间格局,并根据其强度划分为3个等级市场潜能区,运用探索性空间数据分析工具,揭示其空间相关性随地理距离的变化规律。引入市场潜能变量作为测度经济增长溢出效应的指标,建立空间计量模型测度中国经济增长的空间溢出效应及其范围,结果显示:(1)中国市场潜能空间分布呈"中心-外围"结构,具有从沿海向内陆阶梯状递减的趋势;(2)市场潜能的空间自相关性随距离增加先上升后下降,市场潜能的强度不同,其空间自相关范围也有所差异;(3)经济增长溢出效应强度随距离增加呈"∽"型趋势变化,中国地级市经济增长的有效溢出范围为200 km以内,市场潜能越高,经济活动空间集聚性越强,溢出范围越大。
[Abstract]:Based on the new economic geography theory, the market potential and its spatial pattern of 285 prefectural cities in China are quantitatively analyzed. According to its intensity, it is divided into three grade market potential areas, and exploratory spatial data analysis tools are used. This paper reveals the variation of spatial correlation with geographical distance and introduces market potential variable as an index to measure the spillover effect of economic growth. A spatial econometric model is established to measure the spatial spillover effect of China's economic growth and its scope. The results show that the spatial distribution of market potential in China is "central-peripheral" structure. It has the tendency of descending from the coast to the inland; (2) the spatial autocorrelation of market potential increases first and then decreases with the increase of distance. The intensity of market potential is different, and the range of spatial autocorrelation is also different; 3) the intensity of spillover effect of economic growth changes with the increase of distance. The effective spillover range of economic growth of prefecture-level cities in China is less than 200 km, and the market potential is higher. The stronger the spatial agglomeration of economic activities, the larger the scope of spillover.
【作者单位】：东北师范大学地理科学学院;
【基金】：国家社会科学基金一般项目(16BJL032)资助~~
【分类号】：F127;F299.2
【正文快照】： 引言改革开放以来,市场对中国经济发展的重要地位日益突显,在经济新常态的背景下,中国经济增速从高速降至中高速,判断会下调多少,要看经济的增长潜能和挖掘潜能的内部条件,因此对中国市场潜能及其经济增长效应的研究至关重要。自从新经济地理学将空间要素纳入一般均衡分析框架

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