地方主官更替与城市空间增长——基于地级市面板数据的分析

发布时间：2018-01-30 14:16

本文关键词： 地方主官更替城市空间增长作用机制政府决策土地出让　出处：《经济地理》2017年10期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：中国政府决策对经济活动具有重要作用,作为地方政府的主要决策者,各市域主政官员的更替会较大程度地影响城市经济增长和空间增长。基于2000—2013年250个地级市数据,研究了地方主官对城市空间增长的影响及作用机制。结果表明:(1)地方主官更替年份比非更替年份的城市空间增长率平均低2个百分点;地方主官在更替1年后对城市空间增长具有显著正向影响,会使城市空间增长提高1.5个百分点。进一步分析显示,东部地区地方主官更替年份空间增长波动较大,东北和中部次之,西部保持均衡;大城市和小城市地方主官更替对空间增长波动的影响较中等城市大。(2)地方主官通过土地出让和基础设施建设影响城市空间增长。主官更替的年份城市土地出让面积会显著下降,而后土地出让面积增加;地方主官更替年份对基础设施的影响不显著,在更替后的两年显著为正。上级决策者要采取相关政策,避免官员换届更替带来的城市增长波动。
[Abstract]:Chinese government decision making plays an important role in economic activities, as the main decision makers of local governments. The turnover of municipal government officials will have a greater impact on urban economic growth and spatial growth, based on data from 250 prefecture-level municipalities for the period 2000-2013. This paper studies the influence of local chief officials on urban spatial growth and its mechanism. The results show that the change year of local chief officials is 2 percentage points lower than that of non-replacement years. The local chief officials have a significant positive impact on the urban spatial growth after one year of replacement, which will increase the urban spatial growth by 1.5 percentage points. In the eastern region, the spatial growth of the local chief official in the replacement year fluctuated greatly, followed by the northeast and central regions, and the western region maintained a balance; (B) the impact of the replacement of local chief officials on spatial growth fluctuations in large and small cities is larger than that in medium-sized cities (2). The local chief officials influence the urban space growth through land transfer and infrastructure construction. In the year of the chief official replacement, the area of urban land transfer will decrease significantly. Then the land transfer area increased; In the two years after the replacement of local chief officials, the impact on infrastructure is not significant, and the policy makers at the higher level should adopt relevant policies to avoid the fluctuation of urban growth caused by the change of officials.
【作者单位】：河南大学环境与规划学院;河南财经政法大学城乡协调发展河南省协同创新中心;河南大学黄河文明与可持续发展研究中心;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金项目(41471117) 教育部人文社会科学重点研究基地重大项目(16JJD770021) 河南省软科学重大项目(152400410098)
【分类号】：C912.81;D630;F299.2
【正文快照】： 在中国特殊的社会关系和政治体系下,研究经济地理现象的形成,需要更加侧重研究政府力量的作用[1-2]。中国的政府机构在经济发展中长期处于主导地位,而“一把手”的行政体系将辖区的政治经济权力集中在少数地方官员手中,相应的,主要地方官员对区域经济的发展打上了深刻烙印,省

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