我国能耗成效的影响因素分解研究

发布时间：2018-02-03 07:19

  本文关键词： 能耗效率 结构效应 技术效应 泰尔指数　出处：《自然辩证法研究》2017年05期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：中国作为最大的发展中国家,在所有参与应对全球气候变化的国家中,对全球化的节能减排做出了巨大的贡献与表率。在2011至2015年我国能耗效率从2011年的1.34亿元/万吨标准煤,提高到了2015年的1.60亿元/万吨标准煤。早在2013年便提前两年完成了在全球气候谈判中设定的目标。为探究我国能耗效率变化的原因,本研究在对影响能耗效率机理分析的基础上,将能耗效率变化的原因归纳为两个因素:即结构效应、技术效应。在此基础上,引入经济学经典指数—Theil指数对能耗效率差异进行测度;并结合Theil指数的分解,实现了对能耗效率影响因素的有效描述。通过利用311家北京市重点用能单位2012-2015年的能耗数据,对北京市能耗效率差异及其影响因素分解进行实证测度。结论显示,技术效应是近年北京市能耗效率提升的决定性因素,而结构效应也开始越来越突出其对能耗效率提升的正的贡献。
[Abstract]:As the largest developing country, China is among all the countries involved in combating global climate change. From 2011 to 2015, the energy consumption efficiency of our country from 2011 to 134 million yuan / 10,000 tons of standard coal. Raised to 160 million yuan / 10,000 tons of standard coal in 2015. As early as 2013, completed the target set in the global climate negotiations two years earlier. In order to explore the reasons for the change of energy efficiency in China. On the basis of analyzing the mechanism of influencing energy efficiency, this study concludes the reasons of energy efficiency change into two factors: structural effect, technical effect, and on this basis. The economic classic index-Theil index is introduced to measure the difference of energy consumption efficiency. Combined with the decomposition of Theil index, the effective description of the factors affecting energy efficiency is realized. By using the energy consumption data of 311-key energy use units in Beijing from 2012-2015. The difference of energy consumption efficiency in Beijing and the decomposition of its influencing factors are empirically measured. The conclusion shows that the technical effect is the decisive factor for the improvement of energy consumption efficiency in Beijing in recent years. And the structural effect also began to highlight its positive contribution to the improvement of energy efficiency.
【正文快照】： 第 33 卷 第 5 期 2 0 1 7 年 5 月 自 然 辩 证 法 研 究 Studies in Dialectics of Nature Vol． 33 ， No． 5 May． ， 2017 文章编号: 1000 － 8934 ( 2017 ) 05 － 0051 － 07 我国能耗成效的影响因素分解研究 苗向荣 1 ， 2 ，，

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