长三角城市群综合发展水平测度及耦合协调评价——来自26城市2002—2015年的面板数据

发布时间：2018-02-04 00:41

本文关键词： 长三角城市群熵值法耦合协调度面板数据　出处：《北京理工大学学报(社会科学版)》2017年06期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：为准确评价长三角城市群协同发展状态,通过建立长三角城市群发展水平测度指标体系,选取26个城市2002—2015年的面板数据,运用熵值法和耦合协调模型测算长三角城市群综合发展指数和耦合协调度。结果显示:长三角城市群综合发展水平整体呈现逐年上升的时序特征,群内各城市之间的发展水平截面差异明显;资源子系统综合指数增长幅度最大,环境子系统次之,再次是产业子系统,人口子系统综合指数增长幅度最小,各子系统指数变化轨迹、升降幅度和截面特征不一致,使得26个城市综合发展指数呈现出发展平稳型、持续波动型和跳跃型3种波动类型;长三角城市群的耦合度和城市间的耦合协调度呈现逐年上升的发展态势,不同年份的耦合协调度类型各异,城市间内部协调性不高,人口与其他子系统的矛盾突出,虽然两两子系统间的耦合协调度在逐年升高,但人口与其他子系统的耦合协调度偏低,当前,经济发展和环境保护矛盾依然突出。据此认为应推动长三角城市群人口、产业、资源、环境协调发展,实现以人为本的新型城镇化建设目标。
[Abstract]:In order to evaluate the cooperative development of the Yangtze River Delta urban agglomeration accurately, the panel data of 26 cities from 2002 to 2015 were selected by establishing the index system of the development level of the Yangtze River Delta urban agglomeration. The comprehensive development index and coupling coordination degree of Yangtze River Delta urban agglomeration are calculated by entropy method and coupling coordination model. The result shows that the overall development level of Yangtze River Delta urban agglomeration is increasing year by year. The cross-section of the development level of each city in the group is obviously different; The resource subsystem is the largest, the environmental subsystem is the second, the third is the industrial subsystem, the population subsystem has the smallest growth range, and each subsystem has the index change track. The fluctuation range and cross-section characteristics are not consistent, which makes 26 cities' comprehensive development index show three kinds of fluctuation types: stable development, continuous fluctuation and jumping. The coupling degree of Yangtze River Delta urban agglomeration and the degree of coupling and coordination among cities are increasing year by year. The types of coupling and coordination are different in different years, and the internal coordination among cities is not high. The contradiction between population and other subsystems is prominent. Although the degree of coupling and coordination between the two subsystems is increasing year by year, the degree of coupling and coordination between population and other subsystems is on the low side, at present. The contradiction between economic development and environmental protection is still prominent. Therefore, we should promote the coordinated development of population, industry, resources and environment in the Yangtze River Delta urban agglomeration, and realize the new urbanization construction goal of people-oriented.
【作者单位】：安徽大学经济学院;
【基金】：国家社科基金资助项目“新型城市化背景下城市义务教育均衡发展研究”(BGA130040)
【分类号】：F299.27
【正文快照】： 2016年,国家发改委在《长江三角洲城市群发展规划》中明确了长三角城市群的战略地位:“长三角城市群是经济最具活力、开放程度最高、创新能力最强、吸纳外来人口最多的区域之一,是‘一带一路’与长江经济带的重要交汇地带,对国家现代化建设大局和全方位开放格局具有举足轻重的

【相似文献】