北京市居住用地出让价格的空间格局及影响因素

发布时间：2018-02-22 12:39

本文关键词： 居住用地价格空间格局探索性空间分析空间滞后模型空间误差模型北京市　出处：《地理学报》2017年06期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：以2004-2015年北京市六环内居住用地的交易样本为基本数据,借助Arc GIS、GS+、Surfer和Geoda软件,采用空间趋势面分析、最近邻指数(NNI)、探索性空间分析(ESDA)探讨居住用地出让和居住地价的空间格局特征,并对比OLS和空间回归模型(SLM和SEM)进一步探讨居住地价的影响因素。结果表明:(1)北京市居住用地出让数量和出让面积不均衡,五六环间出让的居住用地最多。(2)出让地块沿主要道路(如京石高速、京开高速、京沪高速及京藏高速)、地铁线(如地铁1号线、5号线、6号线、15号线、房山线、大兴线及亦庄线)呈轴线扩散,其中远郊区域这一特征更加明显。(3)居住地价从中心向外围总体表现"倒U型"趋势,且呈多中心圈层递减结构。(4)呈集聚分布模式,存在空间自相关,低值集聚区和高值集聚区明显。(5)模型对比方面,SLMSEMOLS,说明北京市居住地价存在实质性的空间依赖,而非干扰性的空间依赖。周边居住地块的价格、公交站、地铁站、重点小学、占地面积、容积率和出让方式对居住地价有显著影响。
[Abstract]:Taking the transaction sample of residential land in the sixth Ring Road of Beijing from 2004 to 2015 as the basic data, the spatial trend surface analysis was used with the aid of Arc GISGISG GS surfer and Geoda software. The nearest neighbor, NNI, exploratory Spatial Analysis (ESDAA) discusses the spatial pattern characteristics of residential land transfer and residential land price. Compared with OLS and spatial regression models, the factors affecting residential land price are further discussed. The results show that the quantity and area of residential land transfer in Beijing are not balanced. The number of residential land allocated between the five or six rings is up to. 2) along major roads (such as Jingshi Expressway, Jingkai Expressway, Beijing-Shanghai Expressway and Beijing-Tibet Expressway), subway lines (such as Metro Line 1, Line 5, Line 6, Line 15, Fangshan Line). The Daxing Line and Yizhuang Line) spread along the axis, in which the outer suburb area is more obvious. The residential land price shows the trend of "inverted U type" from the center to the periphery, and presents a pattern of agglomeration and distribution with the decreasing structure of multi-center circle. There are spatial autocorrelation, low-value agglomeration area and high-value agglomeration area obviously. The comparison of SLMSEMOLSs shows that Beijing residential land price has substantial spatial dependence, not interference spatial dependence. Subway station, key primary school, occupation area, volume ratio and transfer mode have a significant impact on residential land price.
【作者单位】：北京大学城市与环境学院;国土资源部国土规划与开发重点实验室;北京大学经济学院;
【基金】：基金项目:京津冀土地优化利用管控技术方法研究(201511010-3A)~~
【分类号】：F299.23

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