农民工工资性收入不确定性及其影响因素——基于CGSS数据的反事实因果分析

发布时间：2018-04-02 19:56

  本文选题：农民工　切入点：工资性收入　出处：《湖南农业大学学报(社会科学版)》2017年02期

【摘要】：引入效用理论的分析框架,采用反事实分析方法,基于CGSS数据测度农民工工资性收入的不确定性及其协同不确定性、异质不确定性和不确定性误差的分解情况,并分析其影响因素。结果表明:农民工工资性收入总不确定性的绝对值为0.018;总不确定性中协同不确定性占比达到81.62%,而异质不确定性占比不到20%;不同农民工群体间的不确定性差异较大,东部地区及从事高技能工作或自雇的农民工工资性收入不确定性较低。健康状况、社会资本和区域变量等因素对农民工工资性收入不确定性有显著的负向影响;工资性收入、高技能和自雇职业等因素对农民工工资性收入不确定性有显著的正向影响。
[Abstract]:This paper introduces the analysis frame of utility theory and uses the counterfactual analysis method to measure the uncertainty of migrant workers' wage income and their coordination uncertainty heterogeneity uncertainty and uncertainty error decomposition based on CGSS data.The influencing factors are analyzed.The results show that the absolute value of the total uncertainty of migrant workers' wage income is 0.018, the proportion of cooperative uncertainty is 81.62and the proportion of heterogeneous uncertainty is less than 20.In the eastern region and migrant workers engaged in high-skilled jobs or self-employed, the uncertainty of wage income is low.Factors such as health status, social capital and regional variables have a significant negative impact on the uncertainty of migrant workers' wage income.Factors such as high skills and self-employed occupation have significant positive effects on the uncertainty of migrant workers' wage income.
【作者单位】： 沈阳农业大学经济管理学院;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金项目(71503173,71273179,713073161) 辽宁省社会科学基金项目(L15CJY014;L16AJY007) 辽宁省教育厅人文社科项目(W2015336)
【分类号】：F249.24;F323.6
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本文编号：1701877