2000年来长三角城市群自然资本利用及时空格局研究

发布时间：2018-04-11 07:51

本文选题：长三角城市群 + 自然资本利用　；参考：《南京师范大学》2017年硕士论文

【摘要】：目前,随着人口的迅速膨胀和经济的高速增长,工业化进程和城市化进程不断推动着人类文明和城市迅速发展,在人类社会取得巨大成就的同时,人与自然的空间及物质关系也发生了巨大转变。人类社会的经济行为引起了生态系统健康和人类社会福利之间的冲突不断爆发和加深,实现区域可持续发展迫在眉睫。通过梳理文献发现,已有研究大多将自然资本存量恒定作为判断区域可持续发展的依据,并侧重于自然资本的测算。实际上,只有提高自然资本的投资效率,才能保证地区可持续发展的稳定,自然资本利用效率的提高是使一个国家或地区从以自然资本消耗为主的不可持续发展走向可持续发展的根本途径。自然资本利用强度是衡量自然资本利用质量的一个很重要的指标。从长远来看,一个地区的自然资本利用率越高、自然资本利用强度越低越有利于其可持续发展。在这种背景下,本文从经济学和生态学的基础理论出发,分析已有自然资本研究存在的问题,以2000-2014年长三角城市群为研究案例,尝试建立基于自然资本利用率和利用强度的可持续发展能力框架,利用三维生态足迹模型将自然资本利用分解为存量资本利用和流量资本利用,进一步利用DEA模型评估自然利用效率以及分解效率之间的关系。在此基础上对长三角城市群自然资本利用率和自然资本利用强度的时空格局演变进行分析,结果表明:上海是长三角地区经济发展最好的城市,随着时间的推移,其自然资本利用强度在逐渐降低的同时自然资本利用率也有下滑趋势,而苏南大部分城市资本利用率逐渐上升,呈现出蓬勃向上的发展态势。从空间格局上来看,区域性中心城市在自然资本利用上往往呈现资本利用强度低且效率有效的态势;与中心城市邻近的城市其自然资本利用受到涓滴效应的影响一般呈现发展较好的状态,距中心城市较远和大经济区域链接地带的城市自然资本利用质量低,多属于“高-无效型”。为弄清造成这种空间格局的主要驱动因素,本文利用空间线性回归模型分析,结果表明,2000年来长三角城市群自然资本利用不断增加的主要原因是社会经济因素;而第三产业的发展、绿地面积的增加以及生活污水、垃圾的处理率则有利于自然资本利用的降低。针对前文分析结论以及影响因素的分析结果,本文提出为了提高区域可持续发展能力、缓解生态压力,长三角地区务必要加强政策监督,合理引导地区健康发展,确保发展的公平性;建立资源节约型生产体系,发展特色农业、生态农业,调整产业结构;加强自然资本的全面投资、加大教育投入力度,完善社会保障体系的建设等合理建议。
[Abstract]:At present, with the rapid growth of the rapid expansion of population and economy, industrialization and urbanization of the city continue to promote human civilization and the rapid development of the city, has made great achievements in the human society, man and nature of space and material relations has undergone tremendous changes. The economic behavior of human society caused by the conflict between ecological welfare system health and human society constantly broke and deepened, to realize the regional sustainable development is imminent. Through the literature review, most research has been the natural capital stock is constant as the judgment of the regional sustainable development on the basis of calculation, and focuses on the natural capital. In fact, only to improve the investment efficiency of natural capital, in order to ensure the sustainable development of the region's stability, efficiency the use of natural capital is that a country or region from natural capital consumption is not sustainable development The fundamental way to sustainable development. The use of natural capital strength is an important quality index of using natural capital measure. In the long run, an area of natural capital utilization rate is high, natural capital with low strength is more conducive to its sustainable development. In this context, this article from the basic theory of Economics and the ecology of analysis of the existing studies of natural capital, 2000-2014 years in the Yangtze River Delta city group as a case study, try to establish a recycling rate and the ability of sustainable development and utilization of natural capital based on the strength of the frame, the use of three-dimensional model of ecological footprint will be decomposed by use of natural capital use for the stock of capital utilization and capital flow, further use of DEA evaluation model natural efficiency as well as the relationship between the decomposition efficiency. On the basis of the Yangtze River Delta city group of natural capital and natural capital utilization Analysis of the evolution, the spatio-temporal pattern of the strength of the results showed that: Shanghai is the best city in the Yangtze River Delta economic development, with the passage of time, the natural capital utilization intensity gradually decreased at the same time in the natural capital utilization rate is on a downward trend, while the majority of South of Jiangsu City, the capital utilization rate gradually increased, showing a momentum of vigorous development. From the point of view of spatial pattern, the regional center of the city tend to show low strength and efficiency of capital utilization situation in natural capital utilization; and the city center city adjacent to its natural capital utilization is affected by the trickle down effect generally shows good development state, away from the city center city is far from the natural capital use and Regional Economic Zone link the quality is low, belongs to the "high - invalid". The main driving factors for the understanding of the spatial pattern, using linear space Regression analysis results show that in 2000, the natural capital of Yangtze River Delta city group the main reason is the increasing social and economic factors; and the third industry development, green area and the increase of sewage, garbage treatment rate is beneficial to reducing the natural capital utilization. According to the analysis results and influence factors of the conclusion above, this paper in order to improve the capacity of regional sustainable development, alleviate the ecological pressure, the Yangtze River Delta region must strengthen the supervision policy, reasonable guide the healthy development of area, ensure the fairness of development; the establishment of resource-saving production system, the development of agriculture, ecological agriculture, adjust the industrial structure; strengthen the overall investment of the natural capital, increase investment in education, improve the construction of society security system and reasonable proposals.

【学位授予单位】：南京师范大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：F127;F205

【参考文献】