基于PPP模式的公租房项目风险管理研究

发布时间：2018-04-12 06:23

本文选题：PPP + 公租房　；参考：《北京建筑大学》2017年硕士论文

【摘要】：公共租赁房又被称为公租房,其主要服务对象是社会上中低收入群体,包括新就业职工和从外地迁移到城市工作的务工人员。在近年来出台的政府报告中可以发现,政府已经将公共租赁房当做自身首要解决的发展问题。截至2016年已兴建公租房约227万套,然而公租房兼具社会福利性、公益性和商品出租的特点,在公租房体系落实过程中,其资金主要由中央政府财政与地方政府的土地收益所组成,这就造成该项目面临着资金匮乏、资金获取方式单一等问题。加拿大、澳大利亚等国家普遍将PPP模式运用于自身公共服务行业与基础设施建设项目当中,该模式即公私合营模式,整合了私人部门、政府、金融机构的优势,降低了政府公共服务方面的财政压力;并且有效提升私人部门所获得的利益,提高了政企双方的社会服务质量。随着“十三五”规划不断落实到实际工作当中,越来越多的企业对PPP模式当做自身重要的融资方式参与到公共基础设施项目当中,来提升私人部门活跃程度。目前在建的公租房PPP项目就有五个试点工程,包括安徽、广西、四川、六安、宿州。但公租房PPP项目存在大量风险,建立有效的风险管理机制是本文的研究内容。本文对PPP模式下的公租房项目可能存在的风险分别从风险识别、风险评价与风险分担三方面进行了分析,并给出了相关问题的解决方案。第一,对国内较为著名的PPP项目进行分析,借鉴和参考Hastak和Shaked的风险归纳法,将PPP项目风险分为国家层、市场层、项目层三个层级,并将风险归纳到公租房PPP项目运行流程中,并利用GEM方法对风险因素进行合理筛选,从而建立私人部门角度的公租房PPP项目风险指标体系;第二,根据上文的风险评价指标体系,选取层次分析法对风险进行重要性排序;第三,根据风险分担建议表,对双方共担风险因素建立不完全信息条件下的的博弈模型,得出政企双方对于共担风险因素的承担比例。此外本文还结合了公租房PPP项目实际案例进行了分析,以此对本文所指定的风险管理模型的有效性进行论证。
[Abstract]:Public rental housing is also known as public rental housing, its main service target is the low and middle income groups in society, including new employment workers and migrant workers from the field to urban work.In recent years, government reports have revealed that the government has made public rental housing a priority for its own development.As of 2016, about 2.27 million public rental housing units have been built. However, public rental housing has the characteristics of social welfare, public welfare and commodity rental. In the process of implementing the public rental housing system,The fund is mainly composed of the central government finance and the land income of the local government, which causes the project to face the shortage of funds and the single way of obtaining funds.Canada, Australia and other countries have generally applied the PPP model to their own public service industries and infrastructure projects. This model, the public-private partnership model, integrates the advantages of the private sector, government, and financial institutions.It reduces the financial pressure on the public service of the government, and effectively promotes the benefits of the private sector and improves the quality of social services for both government and enterprises.With the implementation of the 13th Five-Year Plan, more and more enterprises take part in public infrastructure projects as their own important financing mode to enhance the private sector activity.There are five pilot projects under construction in PPP, including Anhui, Guangxi, Sichuan, Lu'an and Suzhou.However, there are a lot of risks in the PPP project of public rental housing, and the establishment of effective risk management mechanism is the research content of this paper.This paper analyzes the possible risks of public rental housing projects in PPP mode from three aspects: risk identification, risk evaluation and risk sharing, and gives the solutions to the related problems.Firstly, this paper analyzes the famous PPP project in China, draws lessons from Hastak and Shaked's risk induction method, divides the PPP project risk into three levels: national level, market layer and project layer, and induces the risk into the running process of PPP project in public rental housing.The GEM method is used to select the risk factors reasonably, so as to establish the public housing PPP project risk index system from the perspective of the private sector. Secondly, according to the above risk evaluation index system, the AHP method is selected to rank the importance of the risk.Thirdly, according to the risk sharing suggestion table, the game model under the condition of incomplete information is established for the risk factors shared by both sides, and the proportion of the government and enterprise to the shared risk factors is obtained.In addition, this paper also analyzes the actual case of PPP project of public rental housing, so as to demonstrate the effectiveness of the risk management model specified in this paper.
【学位授予单位】：北京建筑大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：F283;F299.23

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