基于灰色理论的城市经济与水资源利用关系研究——以郑州市为例

发布时间：2018-04-21 09:31

本文选题：城市经济发展 + 水资源　；参考：《洛阳理工学院学报(社会科学版)》2017年02期

【摘要】：分析评价城市经济发展与水资源利用结构之间的相关性,可以为城市水资源优化配置提供理论依据。以郑州市为例,基于2004年~2014年城市经济发展和水资源利用的具体数据,分析其主要指标的走势,利用灰色关联分析法,定量分析城市经济发展与水资源利用结构的关联度。结果表明:城镇居民人均可支配收入的提高对水资源利用结构的变化影响最大,人均GDP和城市化率次之,产业结构调整最小;工业用水与城市经济发展水平的相关性最强,生活用水和环境用水次之,农业用水与城市经济发展的相关性最弱。城市发展过程中,针对工业用水量和生活用水量的增加,可以采取相应的措施来加以控制,从而保障郑州市城市用水的供需平衡。
[Abstract]:The analysis and evaluation of the correlation between urban economic development and water resources utilization structure can provide theoretical basis for the optimal allocation of urban water resources. Taking Zhengzhou as an example, based on the specific data of urban economic development and water resources utilization from 2004 to 2014, the trend of its main indexes is analyzed, and the correlation degree between urban economic development and water resources utilization structure is quantitatively analyzed by using grey relational analysis. The results show that the increase of per capita disposable income of urban residents has the greatest influence on the change of water resources utilization structure, the per capita GDP and urbanization rate is the second, the industrial structure adjustment is the least, and the correlation between industrial water use and the level of urban economic development is the strongest. Domestic water and environmental water are the second, agricultural water and urban economic development have the weakest correlation. In the process of urban development, in view of the increase of industrial water consumption and domestic water consumption, corresponding measures can be taken to control the demand and supply of water to ensure the balance between supply and demand of urban water in Zhengzhou.
【作者单位】：晋中学院经济管理学院;
【分类号】：TV213.4;F224;F299.27

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