新型城镇化与农业规模化和专业化的协调发展——基于PVAR方法的讨论

发布时间：2018-04-22 01:02

本文选题：新型城镇化 + 农业产业规模化　；参考：《财经科学》2017年04期

【摘要】：本文利用2003—2013年的相关数据,对新型城镇化程度、农村产业规模化程度和农村产业专业化程度进行了测度,并采用PVAR方法研究了三者之间的关系。研究结果表明,新型城镇化程度大致与各省的经济发展程度正相关,满足位于平原地区、地理气候条件较好和传统农业大省等特征的省区农村产业规模化程度较高,新型城镇化与农村产业规模化相互影响、相互促进。而农村产业专业化程度则没有体现出一般规律性,年均变化不大。受到自然条件、区位特点和历史特征的影响,农业产业专业化沿着固有的轨迹发展,各省级行政区新型城镇化和农村产业规模化的发展并没有引起农业产业专业化程度的改变。
[Abstract]:Based on the relevant data from 2003 to 2013, this paper measures the degree of new urbanization, the scale of rural industry and the degree of specialization of rural industry, and studies the relationship between them by using PVAR method. The results show that the degree of new-type urbanization is positively related to the degree of economic development of each province, and the degree of rural industrial scale is higher in provinces and regions that meet the characteristics of plain areas, better geographical and climatic conditions, and large traditional agricultural provinces, etc. New urbanization and scale of rural industries interact and promote each other. The degree of specialization in rural industries does not reflect the general regularity, the average annual change is small. Affected by the natural conditions, location characteristics and historical characteristics, the specialization of agricultural industry develops along the inherent track. The development of the new urbanization and the scale of rural industry in each provincial administrative region has not caused the change of the degree of specialization of agricultural industry.
【作者单位】：湖南大学经济与贸易学院;
【基金】：国家社科重大项目课题“推进我国区域经济、政治、社会、文化及生态协同发展研究”(11&ZD012)
【分类号】：F299.21;F323

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