长江流域城镇化外溢与环境库兹涅茨曲线

发布时间：2018-05-11 08:07

本文选题：长江经济带 + 城镇化　；参考：《现代经济探讨》2017年06期

【摘要】：本文选取2000~2014年长江经济带11省市的面板数据,借助普通面板模型以及空间面板模型对城镇化外溢下的EKC曲线进行了探讨,得出以下结论:第一,依据对环境污染的地域性,界定城镇化率为30%、50%、70%时分别为城镇化起始阶段、城镇化兴起阶段和城镇化完善阶段,起始阶段对本区域影响均较大,兴起阶段对周围区域影响大。第二,城镇化在50%~70%容易出现城市群,这一时期现代服务业和高新技术产业等污染低、但富有集聚属性的产业在本地区发展。第三,依据结论,长三角城市群、长江中游城市群和成渝城市群建设已经而且应该得到大力推动,而云贵川则应以建设生态走廊为重。
[Abstract]:Based on the panel data of 11 provinces and cities in the Yangtze River Economic Belt from 2000 to 2014, this paper discusses the EKC curve of urbanization spillover by means of general panel model and spatial panel model, and draws the following conclusions: first, according to the regional nature of environmental pollution, The urbanization rate is defined as 30%, 70% is the initial stage of urbanization, the stage of urbanization is rising and the stage of urbanization is perfect, the initial stage has great influence on the region, and the stage of rising has great influence on the surrounding region. Secondly, 70% of urbanization is easy to appear in urban agglomeration. In this period, the pollution of modern service industry and hi-tech industry is low, but the industry with agglomeration attribute develops in this area. Thirdly, according to the conclusion, the construction of Yangtze River Delta urban agglomeration, middle Yangtze River urban agglomeration and Chengdu-Chongqing urban agglomeration has been and should be vigorously promoted, while Yun-Guichuan should focus on the construction of ecological corridor.
【作者单位】：西南财经大学经济学院;
【基金】：西南财经大学中央高校基本科研业务费资助项目“要素错配、空间集聚与农业供给侧改革——基于DEA-GML指数与面板SDM模型”(项目编号:JBK1707046)
【分类号】：F299.27;X22

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