京津冀流通业与区域经济耦合发展研究

发布时间：2018-05-12 23:32

本文选题：京津冀 + 流通业　；参考：《首都经济贸易大学》2017年硕士论文

【摘要】：在“十三五”这一新的历史时期,“京津冀协同发展”已经作为区域协调发展一项重大战略被继续推进。而流通业的基础和先导性地位,使其在区域经济发展扮演着不可替代的重要角色。鉴于两者的重要性,本文展开了对京津冀流通业与区域经济协调发展的研究。根据已有的研究可以发现,关于京津冀流通业与区域经济协调发展的内涵、现状、存在的问题以及如何促进两者趋优协调发展等问题的相关的研究还很少。因此,本文以京津冀流通业与区域经济协调发展为切入点,研究了相关问题,并提出了自己的看法与建议。首先,本文从京津冀流通与区域经济耦合发展的理论基础出发,梳理了两系统耦合发展的内涵、路径、机理、机制等内容;接着,对京津冀流通业与区域经济耦合发展的现状及存在的问题进行了分析;以这些分析为基础,本文构建了两系统的耦合度模型与耦合发展度模型进行实证分析。研究发现,两系统耦合度总体表现平稳,受金融危机影响稍有波动。在耦合发展初期,京津冀流通业发展滞后于区域经济的发展;随着京津冀流通业自身的不断发展,以及区域经济发展的带动,其发展水平逐步超越区域经济。近期,两系统的发展速度明显降低,都趋于平稳发展。根据两系统的耦合发展度,按照已有研究的划分标准,可将两系统在2005-2015年期间的耦合发展阶段大致划分为过渡阶段和协调发展阶段。在过渡阶段,两系统的耦合发展水平总体表现为在低水平徘徊;在协调发展阶段的前期,两系统的耦合发展水平有明显地提升;而在协调发展阶段的后期,两系统的耦合发展度出现回落,又趋于平缓发展。最后,根据以上实证分析结果,本文就影响两系统耦合趋优的因素进行了阐述,有针对性地提出了促进京津冀流通业与区域经济耦合发展水平不断趋优的政策建议。
[Abstract]:In the new historical period of the 13th Five-Year Plan, the coordinated development of Beijing, Tianjin and Hebei has been promoted as a major strategy of regional coordinated development. The foundation and leading position of circulation industry make it play an irreplaceable important role in the development of regional economy. In view of the importance of both, this paper studies the coordinated development of Beijing, Tianjin and Hebei circulation and regional economy. According to the existing research, there are few researches on the connotation, present situation, existing problems and how to promote the optimal and coordinated development of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei circulation and regional economy. Therefore, based on the coordinated development of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei circulation industry and regional economy, this paper studies the related problems, and puts forward its own views and suggestions. First of all, based on the theoretical basis of the coupled development of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei circulation and regional economy, this paper combs the connotation, path, mechanism and mechanism of the coupling development of the two systems. Based on the analysis of the current situation and the existing problems of the development of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei circulation and regional economy, this paper constructs the coupling degree model and coupling development model of the two systems for empirical analysis. It is found that the coupling degree of the two systems is stable and slightly fluctuated by the financial crisis. In the early stage of coupled development, the development of circulation industry in Beijing, Tianjin and Hebei lags behind the development of regional economy, and with the continuous development of the circulation industry of Beijing, Tianjin and Hebei, and the impetus of regional economic development, its development level gradually surpasses that of regional economy. In the near future, the speed of development of the two systems obviously decreased, both tend to steady development. According to the degree of coupling development of the two systems and according to the criteria of existing studies, the coupling development stage of the two systems in 2005-2015 can be roughly divided into transition stage and coordinated development stage. In the transition stage, the coupling development level of the two systems generally shows as hovering in the low level; in the early stage of coordinated development, the coupling development level of the two systems has obviously improved; while in the latter stage of coordinated development, The coupling development degree of the two systems fell back, and then tended to flat development. Finally, based on the above empirical analysis results, this paper expounds the factors that affect the coupling optimization of the two systems, and puts forward some policy suggestions to promote the development level of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei circulation industry and regional economy.
【学位授予单位】：首都经济贸易大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：F127;F259.27

【相似文献】