行政区划调整对大城市房价的影响研究

发布时间：2018-05-25 16:29

本文选题：行政区划调整 + 撤县设区　；参考：《地理研究》2017年05期

【摘要】：随着城市化进程的推进,不少城市进行了"撤县设区"和"城区合并"等行政区划调整。已有研究主要探讨行政区划调整的类型、推动力及其对城市化、经济发展和城镇体系的影响,鲜有研究分析行政区划调整对房价变化的影响。基于1999-2013年280多个地级市和2009-2016年上海市19个区的房价面板数据,采用合成控制法检验撤县设区和城区合并对房价的影响。研究发现:对于特大城市,撤县设区对城市房价有正向影响;对于一般的地级市,撤县设区短期内会减缓城市房价的增速;此外,城区合并对被合并城区的房价往往具有推动作用。本文的研究方法可为其他事件影响的评估研究提供参考。研究结论可为地方政府的房价政策制定提供参考。
[Abstract]:With the development of urbanization, many cities have carried on the adjustment of administrative divisions, such as "withdrawing counties into districts" and "merging urban areas". Previous studies have focused on the types, driving forces, and effects on urbanization, economic development and urban system of the adjustment of administrative divisions, and few studies have analyzed the effects of the adjustment of administrative divisions on the changes of housing prices. Based on the panel data of house prices in more than 280 prefecture-level cities and 19 districts in Shanghai from 1999 to 2013, this paper uses the composite control method to test the effect of the district setting and the merging of urban areas on the housing prices. The study found that: for mega-cities, setting up districts at the county level has a positive impact on urban housing prices; for general prefecture-level cities, setting up districts at the county level will slow down the growth of housing prices in cities in the short term; in addition, Urban amalgamation is often the promotion of the housing price of the merged city. The research method in this paper can be used as a reference for the evaluation of the impact of other events. The conclusion can provide reference for the local government to formulate the housing price policy.
【作者单位】：华东师范大学中国现代城市研究中心;华东师范大学城市发展研究院;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金项目(41601144,41371147,41271165,41130747) 十三五国家重点研发计划研究专项(2016YFC0502701)
【分类号】：D630;F299.23

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