物有所值法在PPP项目应用研究

发布时间：2018-05-28 05:46

本文选题：PPP + VFM　；参考：《安徽建筑大学》2017年硕士论文

【摘要】：随着新型城镇化战略的深入推进,单一的财政投入已无法满足日益高涨的基础设施建设和服务需求。于此背景下,PPP模式以其更高经济效率、时间效率以及增加基础融资与改善公共服务的优点,在中国得到广泛运用。一个公共项目能否按照PPP模式实施,需要物有所值法提供定性和可量化的依据。但现阶段物有所值法偏重定性评价,且其指标体系及权重存在争议;定量评价在实践中还没有得到有效应用。本文基于PPP项目全生命周期角度,分析出物有所值法应用中存在的难题,尝试研究阻碍VFM应用中的5大难点,旨在提高物有所值法在PPP项目中的应用程度。具体开展以下几个方面的研究:(1)结合PPP模式背景,从物有所值应用现状及国内外PPP项目评价的文献综述中,明确本文应用研究的内容及思路。(2)阐述项目评价理论、方法以及利益分配的Shapley值法,重点剖析了物有所值理论及其四种主要方法,将物有所值应用范围扩展至项目全生命周期。全球6个国家及香港地区VFM的应用经验,对我国当前VFM应用起到了建设性启示。(3)改进设计了定性评价指标体系,运用不确定型层次分析法来确定权重,这一研究是本文的创新之一,并在实际案例中得到验证。(4)将定量评价的应用阶段扩展至项目全生命周期,对折现率的计算与选择提出可行性思考,细化了PSC值和PPP值成本并分析其数据来源,运用情景分析法结合概率法来量化风险,构建Shapley值修正模型来量化利益分配。(5)选取某市海绵城市试点建设PPP项目为实际背景,从定性评价和定量评价两方面进行了案例分析,用实际数据验证了本文研究成果。本文的研究结论对推动VFM法在PPP项目评价中的应用,具有一定的理论参考价值和实际借鉴作用。
[Abstract]:With the development of new urbanization strategy, a single financial investment can not meet the increasing demand for infrastructure construction and services. In this context, the PPP model has been widely used in China because of its advantages of higher economic efficiency, more time efficiency, more basic financing and better public services. Whether a public project can be implemented according to the PPP model requires a value for money method to provide a qualitative and quantifiable basis. However, at present, the value for money method focuses on qualitative evaluation, and its index system and weight are controversial, and quantitative evaluation has not been effectively applied in practice. Based on the whole life cycle of PPP project, this paper analyzes the problems existing in the application of the value for money method, and tries to study the five difficulties that hinder the application of VFM, in order to improve the application degree of the value for money method in the PPP project. With the background of PPP model, from the current situation of value for money application and the literature review of domestic and foreign PPP project evaluation, this paper clarifies the contents and ideas of this paper's applied research. The method and the Shapley value method of benefit distribution are introduced. The theory of value for money and its four main methods are analyzed, and the application range of value for money is extended to the whole life cycle of the project. The application experience of VFM in 6 countries of the world and Hong Kong area, which has a constructive enlightenment to the current VFM application in China, has improved the qualitative evaluation index system and used the uncertain Analytic hierarchy process (AHP) to determine the weight. This study is one of the innovations of this paper, and has been verified in practical cases. (4) the application stage of quantitative evaluation is extended to the whole life cycle of the project, and the feasibility of calculating and selecting the discount rate is put forward. The cost of PSC value and PPP value is refined and its data source is analyzed. The risk is quantified by scenario analysis method combined with probability method, and the Shapley value correction model is constructed to quantify the distribution of benefits. Case analysis is carried out from qualitative evaluation and quantitative evaluation, and the research results are verified by actual data. The conclusion of this paper has certain theoretical reference value and practical reference value to promote the application of VFM method in PPP project evaluation.
【学位授予单位】：安徽建筑大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：F283

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