中国在“一带一路”沿线国家直接投资的母国就业效应分析

发布时间：2018-06-02 21:25

本文选题：“一带一路” + 直接投资　；参考：《兰州财经大学》2017年硕士论文

【摘要】：随着世界经济一体化的不断渗透,我国先后出台了“走出去”战略和“一带一路”战略,并在对外投资这份答卷上获得优异成绩。与此同时,由于国内适龄劳动人口巨大、劳动力素质较低、高新技术人才不足等多钟因素作用,国内仍然面临着十分严峻就业压力,“就业问题”日益成为我国理论研究和政府部门关注的一个焦点。我国对“一带一路”沿线各国直接投资的发展将对国内就业产生怎样的影响是本文所要探讨的主要问题。本文使用归纳分析法和定量分析法相结合,着重就中国对“一带一路”沿线国家的投资所产生的母国就业效应进行探讨,初步可得到以下观点:对“一带一路”沿线国家直接投资的母国直接就业影响表现为正效应,间接就业影响也表现为正效应,进而两者之和的总就业影响为正效应,这正与我国对沿线国家投资特点相吻合。中国企业在沿线国家直接投资主要集中于基础设施建设,大都属于绿地投资,限于沿线国家大多属于发展中国家,人员素质和技术水平不高,需要我国派遣大量的人员进行建设工作,进而拉动国内直接就业增加。同样,也会带动我国设备的出口,间接的带动相关产业的就业增长。随着我国对沿线国家投资的不断发展,势必会出现产业转移现象,进而有可能会对我国就业产生替代现象。但现阶段,我国对沿线国家的投资还处于初级阶段,暂时还不会出现对我国就业产生替代作用。
[Abstract]:With the continuous penetration of world economic integration, China has successively issued the "going out" strategy and "Belt and Road" strategy, and obtained excellent results in the answer paper of foreign investment. At the same time, due to the influence of many factors, such as the huge working age population, the low quality of labor force and the shortage of high-tech talents, China is still facing severe employment pressure. The issue of employment has increasingly become a focus of theoretical research and government departments in China. How the development of China's direct investment in countries along the "Belt and Road" will have an impact on domestic employment is the main problem to be discussed in this paper. By combining inductive analysis with quantitative analysis, this paper focuses on the employment effect of China's investment in countries along the "Belt and Road". The main conclusions are as follows: the direct employment effect of direct investment in the countries along "Belt and Road" is positive effect, the indirect employment effect is positive effect, and the total employment effect of the sum of them is positive effect. This is in line with the characteristics of China's investment in countries along the route. The direct investment of Chinese enterprises in the countries along the route is mainly concentrated in infrastructure construction, most of them belong to greenbelt investments, and are limited to the developing countries, where the quality of personnel and the level of technology are not high. Need our country sends a large number of personnel to carry on the construction work, then pull the domestic direct employment to increase. Similarly, will also drive our country equipment export, indirectly drives the related industry employment growth. With the continuous development of China's investment in the countries along the route, there is bound to be a phenomenon of industrial transfer, which may lead to the substitution of employment in our country. However, China's investment in the countries along the route is still in its primary stage, and there will not be any substitution for employment in our country for the time being.
【学位授予单位】：兰州财经大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：F125;F249.2

【参考文献】