基于ANP-Shapley值的PPP模式风险分担策略研究
发布时间：2018-07-27 13:47
【摘要】：PPP模式因为较好地发挥了政府部门和私营部门的各自优势,提高了项目的建设和运营效率,在近年来得到了迅速的推广。但PPP项目风险复杂,风险分担方案的制定一直是PPP项目合同签订过程中公私双方争论的焦点。本文首先运用合作博弈理论构建公共部门和私营部门的风险分担模型,进而利用网络层次分析法引入项目属性、合作机制、风险属性、风险控制和损失承受五类因素对分担比例的影响,对合作博弈模型的解进行修正。在此基础上以某污水处理厂PPP项目为例对模型进行应用,求得最优风险分担比例。本文不仅为相关研究提供了新视角,也为PPP项目实践中风险分担方案的制定提供了决策依据。
[Abstract]:The PPP model has been popularized rapidly in recent years because it has brought into full play the respective advantages of the government and the private sector and improved the construction and operation efficiency of the project. However, the risk of PPP project is complex, and the formulation of risk sharing scheme is always the focus of public and private disputes in the process of signing the contract of PPP project. In this paper, we first use the cooperative game theory to construct the risk sharing model between the public sector and the private sector, and then introduce the project attribute, cooperation mechanism, risk attribute by using the analytic hierarchy process of network. The effect of five factors, risk control and loss bearing, on the proportion of the cooperative game model is modified. On this basis, the PPP project of a sewage treatment plant is taken as an example to apply the model, and the optimal risk sharing ratio is obtained. This paper not only provides a new perspective for related research, but also provides a decision basis for the formulation of risk sharing scheme in the practice of PPP project.
【作者单位】： 上海国家会计学院财经研究所;
【分类号】：F283
[Abstract]:The PPP model has been popularized rapidly in recent years because it has brought into full play the respective advantages of the government and the private sector and improved the construction and operation efficiency of the project. However, the risk of PPP project is complex, and the formulation of risk sharing scheme is always the focus of public and private disputes in the process of signing the contract of PPP project. In this paper, we first use the cooperative game theory to construct the risk sharing model between the public sector and the private sector, and then introduce the project attribute, cooperation mechanism, risk attribute by using the analytic hierarchy process of network. The effect of five factors, risk control and loss bearing, on the proportion of the cooperative game model is modified. On this basis, the PPP project of a sewage treatment plant is taken as an example to apply the model, and the optimal risk sharing ratio is obtained. This paper not only provides a new perspective for related research, but also provides a decision basis for the formulation of risk sharing scheme in the practice of PPP project.
【作者单位】： 上海国家会计学院财经研究所;
【分类号】：F283
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