有限理性与城市二手房价格上涨

发布时间：2018-08-02 13:12

【摘要】：本文从二手房业主有限理性的特点出发,将二手房业主作为理性经济人,从演化博弈的角度来分析我国二手房房价上涨的原因。研究发现在只有房产可以投资的情况下,业主都会选择涨价。在二手房市场的供给和需求都很活跃的时候,业主在涨价与不涨价中会达到一个稳定点,其中有一部分业主会选择涨价,另一部分业主不涨价。而市场低迷时,出售房产的业主的行为没有一个均衡点。研究结论为:当供需过旺时,要增加房产的供给,减少房屋闲置。不仅要增加二手房的供给,而且要增加新房的供给,以及租赁房屋的供给。还可以采取限购政策、提高二套房首付比例、提高购房资格等方法,都可以很好的调控二手房房价上涨的现象。当供需都比较少时,要促进房产市场,来拉动内需。另外无论供需双方如何都要积极拓宽人们的投资渠道,有助于缓解房价上涨。
[Abstract]:Starting from the limited rational characteristics of the second-hand house owners, this paper analyzes the reasons for the rise of the second-hand housing prices in China from the perspective of evolutionary game. It is found that the owners will choose to increase the price when the property can be invested only when the supply and demand of the second-hand housing market is very active. The owners will reach a stable point in the price rise and the non price rise. One of the owners will choose to increase the price, and the other part of the owner does not increase the price. But when the market is low, the owner's behavior is not balanced. The research conclusion is that when the supply and demand are too strong, the supply of property should be increased and the housing is reduced. Not only should the housing be increased, but also the second-hand house should be increased. Supply, and to increase the supply of new houses, as well as the supply of rental housing. We can also take the limit purchase policy, increase the ratio of two suites down payment, improve the housing qualification and other methods, can well regulate the phenomenon of second-hand housing prices rise. When supply and demand are relatively small, to promote the real estate market, to stimulate domestic demand. In addition to both supply and demand, such as He Du should actively expand people's investment channels and help ease the rise in housing prices.
【作者单位】：对外经济贸易大学国际经济贸易学院;
【分类号】：F299.23

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