中国城市规模的度量及其空间竞争的来源——基于全球夜间灯光数据的研究

发布时间：2018-10-20 13:50

【摘要】：本文基于全球夜间灯光数据构建了新城市规模指数,力求以更客观、更综合的视角来度量城市规模,并从空间竞争角度研究城市规模变动。对新城市规模指数的分析表明,一定条件下其能纠正土地和人口总量度量法引起的误差;本文进一步通过构建反映城市规模变动空间竞争的空间计量模型,对引起竞争的"水平方向(横向策略互动)"和"垂直方向(纵向共同反应)"两个来源进行了识别。结果显示:"水平方向"的竞争强度为正,且逐年递增,城市规模空间竞争表现为愈来愈强的模仿性;"垂直方向"的竞争强度也为正,官员晋升体制也能引起城市规模空间效仿现象;研究还发现,在晋升年份,以垂直方向的竞争为主,其他年份则以水平方向的竞争为主。过去十年来中央政府"做对了(城市规模)激励",但"做对协调"却显不足,未来应加强"做对协调",实现二者统一。
[Abstract]:In this paper, a new urban scale index is constructed based on the global nighttime lighting data, which aims to measure the urban scale from a more objective and comprehensive perspective, and to study the change of urban scale from the angle of spatial competition. The analysis of the new urban scale index shows that it can correct the errors caused by the measurement of land and population under certain conditions. The "horizontal direction (horizontal strategic interaction)" and "vertical direction (vertical co-reaction)" that cause competition are identified. The results show that the competition intensity of "horizontal direction" is positive and increasing year by year, the competition of urban scale space is more and more imitative, and the competition intensity of "vertical direction" is also positive. The promotion system of officials can also lead to the phenomenon of city scale space emulation, and it is also found that in the year of promotion, the competition in vertical direction is dominant, and in other years the competition in horizontal direction is the main one. In the past ten years, the central government has "done the right (city scale) incentive", but "doing the right coordination" is not enough. In the future, we should strengthen the "do the right coordination" and realize the unification of the two.
【作者单位】：国家行政学院经济学教研部;中国人民大学经济学院;
【基金】：中央在京高校重大成果转化项目(2015010017) 中国人民大学2015年度拔尖创新人才培育资助计划
【分类号】：F299.2

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