脱钩与追赶:中国城市绿色发展路径研究

发布时间：2018-10-23 17:32

【摘要】：当前中国的经济增长是以污染的大量排放为代价的。使用脱钩理论可以揭示经济增长与污染排放之间是否存在同步变化的关联,进而可为更好地实现污染排放的总量控制做好理论铺垫。文章以中国2004-2013年271个地级城市的面板数据为样本,先后考察了经济增长与环境污染脱钩的收敛性以及追赶脱钩状态。结果显示:(1)由于存在环境规制强度等因素上的异质性,区域脱钩状态呈现出"俱乐部收敛"特征,据此可以判定普通城市存在向标杆城市追赶的可能;(2)现阶段中国地级以上城市以"未追赶脱钩"类型的城市为主,大多数普通城市与标杆城市之间在经济增长与污染减排两方面的差距均不断扩大。由此引出的政策启示为:一是改变城市重经济轻环境的做法,二是差别化助推城市的绿色发展。
[Abstract]:China's current economic growth comes at the expense of massive emissions of pollution. The use of decoupling theory can reveal the relationship between economic growth and pollution emissions, which can pave the way for better control of the total amount of pollution emissions. Based on the panel data of 271 prefectural cities in China from 2004 to 2013, the convergence and catch-up decoupling of economic growth and environmental pollution were investigated. The results show that: (1) because of the heterogeneity of environmental regulation intensity and other factors, the state of regional decoupling shows the characteristics of "club convergence". It can be concluded that there is a possibility for ordinary cities to catch up with benchmark cities. (2) at present, cities above the prefectural level in China are dominated by cities with the type of "not catching up and decoupling". The gap between most ordinary cities and benchmark cities in terms of economic growth and pollution reduction is widening. The policy implications are as follows: one is to change the way of paying more attention to economy and less to the environment, and the other is to promote the green development of cities by differentiation.
【作者单位】：中共浙江省委党校经济学教研部;
【基金】：国家社会科学基金(13&ZD158、16CJY027) 教育部人文社科基金(15YJA790022)
【分类号】：F299.2

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