城市土地集约利用与城镇化耦合协调发展评价研究

发布时间：2018-11-13 17:13

【摘要】：伴随着城镇化进程的不断发展,社会上大部分的经济组织均占用土地,而鉴于城市土地供给日趋有限,这使得困扰中国城市土地供给与需求的矛盾抵牾问题一天比一天严重。部分城市由于仅仅对于城镇化率与经济发达的盲目追崇,而较少顾忌频频发生的土地粗放利用以及违法侵占土地的局面,这些都严重阻碍到一个城市城镇化的全面提升以及可持续发展态势。虽然目前学术界关于城市土地集约利用或城镇化的单方面研究比较多,但是研究两者之间耦合协调发展的成果仍相对较少,这是当前学术界和政府亟需解决的重要难题,这有助于从新的视角分析城市土地资源合理集约利用与城镇化发展的协调推进。首先,本研究对城市土地集约利用与城镇化进行理论分析,从城市土地集约利用以及城镇化的概念和内涵入手,阐明并定性分析二者之间的相互影响关系。然后,遵照指标体系的构建原则,从土地利用投入、土地利用程度、土地利用效益和土地利用可持续度这四个层次构建城市土地集约利用水平测度指标体系;从人口城镇化、经济城镇化、社会城镇化、生态城镇化和空间城镇化五个层次构建城镇化水平测度指标体系,通过综合指数法分别计算得出城市土地集约利用与城镇化水平测度。最后,建立城市土地集约利用与城镇化耦合协调发展评价模型以分析二者的耦合协调发展水平并予以类型判别,运用ArcGIS10.3软件中的自然分裂法和空间分析模块中的Moran’s I指数、集聚和异常值分析模块,进行时空特征分析。实证研究部分,本研究依据黑龙江省12个地级市基本资料,将2005年、2008年、2011年和2014年的指标数据进行统计整理,通过综合指数法得到黑龙江省城市土地集约利用水平测度与城镇化水平测度。根据本研究建立的城市土地集约利用与城镇化耦合协调发展评价模型,予以评价并划分不同年份各个地级市的耦合协调发展类型。运用ArcGIS10.3软件得到耦合协调发展阶段分布图、全局Moran’s I指数以及LISA图,用以进行时空特征分析。
[Abstract]:With the continuous development of urbanization, most of the economic organizations in the society occupy land, but in view of the increasingly limited supply of urban land, this makes the contradiction between the supply and demand of urban land in China more and more serious day by day. Because some cities only blindly pursue the rate of urbanization and economic development, they are less concerned about the frequent widespread use of land and the illegal occupation of land. These all seriously hinder the overall promotion of a city's urbanization and the situation of sustainable development. Although there are more unilateral studies on intensive use of urban land or urbanization in academic circles at present, the results of coupling and coordinated development between the two are still relatively few, which is an important problem that the academic community and the government urgently need to solve. It is helpful to analyze the coordination between rational intensive utilization of urban land resources and the development of urbanization from a new perspective. First of all, this study makes a theoretical analysis on the intensive use of urban land and urbanization, starting with the concept and connotation of urban land intensive use and urbanization, to clarify and qualitatively analyze the interaction between the two. Then, according to the construction principle of the index system, this paper constructs the urban land intensive use level measurement index system from the four levels of land use input, land use degree, land use benefit and land use sustainability. From the five levels of population urbanization, economic urbanization, social urbanization, ecological urbanization and spatial urbanization, an index system for measuring urbanization level is constructed. The measurement of urban land intensive utilization and urbanization level is obtained by comprehensive index method. Finally, an evaluation model of coupled and coordinated development of urban land intensive utilization and urbanization is established to analyze the level of coupled and coordinated development of the two and to distinguish their types. Using the natural splitting method in ArcGIS10.3 software and the Moran's I index in the spatial analysis module, gathering and abnormal value analysis module, the space-time characteristic analysis is carried out. In the part of empirical research, based on the basic data of 12 prefecture-level cities in Heilongjiang Province, the index data of 2005, 2008, 2011 and 2014 are statistically collated. The measurement of urban land intensive utilization level and urbanization level in Heilongjiang Province are obtained by comprehensive index method. According to the coupled and coordinated development evaluation model of urban land intensive utilization and urbanization established in this study, the evaluation is carried out and the types of coupling and coordinated development of each prefecture-level city in different years are divided. By using ArcGIS10.3 software, the distribution map of coupled and coordinated development stage, the global Moran's I exponent and the LISA diagram are obtained, which can be used to analyze the spatiotemporal characteristics.
【学位授予单位】：哈尔滨工业大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：F299.2

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