区域分异视角下进城居民再迁意愿分析
发布时间：2018-11-22 10:41
【摘要】：本文利用浙江、河南、四川三省960份已从农村迁移到城镇的居民的入户调查数据,建立二元Logistic回归模型进行验证,分析居民再迁移倾向。研究结果表明:(1)从描述性统计看,69.69%已进城居民不愿再迁,主要是生活原因,而30.31%的居民愿意再迁,主要是经济原因。(2)从三省总样本上看,一是女性较男性有更强的迁移意愿。二是年龄对再次迁移意愿有负向显著影响,年龄越大的进城居民更倾向"安土重迁"。三是家庭类型中三代同堂较单身家庭有更强的迁移意愿,因为养老难、子女教育难。四是手工业工人较村组干部更不愿意迁移,技能优势使其在城里更有保障。五是家庭年总收入对再迁意愿有正向显著影响。六是浙江、四川与河南三地的差异显著,因为三地分属于我国东中西部,社会经济、居民收入和文化观念存在显著差异。(3)从分省比较上看,一是性别、打工年限、家庭类型在浙江省和四川省模型中均有显著影响,但方向相反。二是工作类型在三省都有一定的影响,但存在差异。三是家庭年总收入在河南省不显著,而在四川省和浙江省均是正向显著。四是搬迁到城镇的年数在河南省是正向显著,而在浙江省和四川省是负向显著。五是浙江省和四川省模型都说明对政府越满意,居民越不愿意迁移。基于以上研究结论,本文认为在推进以人为核心的新型城镇化进程中,政府应发挥重要的引导作用,关注已进城居民对经济、生活、教育、社会保障等方面的合理需求,重视不同区域社会经济和文化观念的差异性,健全人口迁移的相关体制,落实各项相关保障政策。
[Abstract]:Based on the data of 960 households in Zhejiang, Henan and Sichuan provinces, a binary Logistic regression model was established to analyze the remigration tendency of residents. The results show that: (1) from the descriptive statistics, 69.69% of the residents in cities do not want to move again, mainly because of their living conditions, while 30.31% of the residents are willing to move again, mainly for economic reasons. (2) from the total sample of the three provinces, One is that women have a stronger willingness to move than men. The other is that age has a negative effect on the willingness to relocate again, and the older the residents are, the more likely they are to relocate again. The third is that three generations of families have stronger intention to migrate than single families because of the difficulty of providing for the aged and the difficulty of children's education. Fourth, handicraft workers are more reluctant to move than village cadres, and their skill advantages make them more secure in the city. Fifth, the annual income of the family has a positive and significant impact on the willingness to relocate. Sixth, there are significant differences among Zhejiang, Sichuan and Henan, because the three places belong to the east, west, west and west of China, and there are significant differences in social economy, residents' income and cultural concepts. (3) in terms of comparison by province, one is gender, the number of years of working. Family types have significant effects on both Zhejiang and Sichuan models, but in the opposite direction. Second, the type of work in the three provinces have a certain impact, but there are differences. Third, annual family income is not significant in Henan Province, but is positive in Sichuan Province and Zhejiang Province. Fourth, the number of years of moving to cities and towns is positive in Henan Province, but negative in Zhejiang Province and Sichuan Province. Fifth, Zhejiang and Sichuan models show that the more satisfied with the government, the less willing residents are to move. Based on the above conclusions, this paper holds that the government should play an important guiding role in the process of promoting a new type of urbanization with people as the core, and pay attention to the reasonable needs of residents in cities in the fields of economy, life, education, social security, etc. We should pay attention to the differences of social, economic and cultural concepts in different regions, perfect the relevant system of population migration, and implement the relevant safeguard policies.
【作者单位】： 福建师范大学旅游学院;西南财经大学中国西部经济研究中心;浙江大学中国农村发展研究院;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金项目“空间计量经济学视角下产业集群对农村减贫作用的研究”(批准号:71503212) 福建省科技厅软科学项目“旅游企业迁移驱动下的旅游城镇化模式、机制及效应研究:基于全国十县的调查”(批准号:2015R0030)
【分类号】：F299.27;F323.6
，
本文编号：2349075
[Abstract]:Based on the data of 960 households in Zhejiang, Henan and Sichuan provinces, a binary Logistic regression model was established to analyze the remigration tendency of residents. The results show that: (1) from the descriptive statistics, 69.69% of the residents in cities do not want to move again, mainly because of their living conditions, while 30.31% of the residents are willing to move again, mainly for economic reasons. (2) from the total sample of the three provinces, One is that women have a stronger willingness to move than men. The other is that age has a negative effect on the willingness to relocate again, and the older the residents are, the more likely they are to relocate again. The third is that three generations of families have stronger intention to migrate than single families because of the difficulty of providing for the aged and the difficulty of children's education. Fourth, handicraft workers are more reluctant to move than village cadres, and their skill advantages make them more secure in the city. Fifth, the annual income of the family has a positive and significant impact on the willingness to relocate. Sixth, there are significant differences among Zhejiang, Sichuan and Henan, because the three places belong to the east, west, west and west of China, and there are significant differences in social economy, residents' income and cultural concepts. (3) in terms of comparison by province, one is gender, the number of years of working. Family types have significant effects on both Zhejiang and Sichuan models, but in the opposite direction. Second, the type of work in the three provinces have a certain impact, but there are differences. Third, annual family income is not significant in Henan Province, but is positive in Sichuan Province and Zhejiang Province. Fourth, the number of years of moving to cities and towns is positive in Henan Province, but negative in Zhejiang Province and Sichuan Province. Fifth, Zhejiang and Sichuan models show that the more satisfied with the government, the less willing residents are to move. Based on the above conclusions, this paper holds that the government should play an important guiding role in the process of promoting a new type of urbanization with people as the core, and pay attention to the reasonable needs of residents in cities in the fields of economy, life, education, social security, etc. We should pay attention to the differences of social, economic and cultural concepts in different regions, perfect the relevant system of population migration, and implement the relevant safeguard policies.
【作者单位】： 福建师范大学旅游学院;西南财经大学中国西部经济研究中心;浙江大学中国农村发展研究院;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金项目“空间计量经济学视角下产业集群对农村减贫作用的研究”(批准号:71503212) 福建省科技厅软科学项目“旅游企业迁移驱动下的旅游城镇化模式、机制及效应研究:基于全国十县的调查”(批准号:2015R0030)
【分类号】：F299.27;F323.6
，
本文编号：2349075
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