我国城市住房租售比影响因素及其区域差异研究
发布时间：2018-12-11 06:54
【摘要】：近年来,在中国经济快速增长的带动下,我国房地产市场也发展迅速,然而,住房价格的增长速度却偏离了住房租金的发展,并且表现出了明显的区域差异,这对我国房地产市场的持续稳健发展产生了一定的影响。租售比作为衡量租金与房价之间关系的重要指标也呈现出较大的波动,并且不同区域的租售比呈现出明显的差异。因此,本文主要从住房价格与住房租金的影响因素入手,分析租售比的影响因素并由此判断我国住房市场的健康状况,并探讨我国不同区域租售比影响因素存在的差异。本文首先对住房价格和住房租金的影响因素及相互关系进行了阐述,并对租售比的相关研究进行归纳总结;其次对我国城市住房市场进行区域划分并描述说明了不同区域住房市场发展的不平衡;然后通过建立住房价格和住房租金的理论模型,分析得出各自的影响因素并由此确定租售比的实证模型,研究出影响我国城市住房租售比的相关因素,并且对比分析租售比与无风险利率和国际标准区间,以此来判断我国城市住房市场的健康状况;最后通过引入区域虚拟变量并将东部区域设定为研究的基准区域,构建实证模型来对比研究租售比影响因素在我国不同区域之间的差异。通过分析研究,本文得到以下几点结论:第一,区域差异存在于我国城市住房市场之中;第二,租售比受到第三产业占GDP比重的正向影响,受到住宅地价水平和住房价格增长率的负向影响;第三,通过租售比与无风险利率和国际标准区间的比较判断出住房价格相对于住房租金已超出合理范畴并且我国城市住房市场存在一定的泡沫;第四,租售比影响因素在不同区域中的整体水平、具体影响因素和相同影响因素的作用上均存在显著差异。
[Abstract]:In recent years, driven by the rapid economic growth in China, the real estate market in China has also developed rapidly. However, the growth rate of housing prices deviates from the development of housing rent and shows obvious regional differences. This has had a certain impact on the sustained and steady development of the real estate market in China. As an important index to measure the relationship between rent and house price, the Rent-to-Sale ratio also shows great fluctuation, and there are obvious differences in the Rent-to-Sale ratio in different regions. Therefore, this article mainly from the housing price and the housing rent influence factor, analyzes the rent to sell the influence factor and thus judges our country housing market the health condition, and discusses the different region rent to sell the ratio influence factor existence difference. In this paper, the influence factors of housing price and housing rent and the relationship between them are discussed, and the relative research on the rental and sale ratio is summarized. Secondly, it divides the urban housing market in China and describes the imbalance in the development of the housing market in different regions. Then through establishing the theoretical model of housing price and housing rent, this paper analyzes the influencing factors and the empirical model to determine the Rent-to-Sale ratio, and studies the relevant factors that affect the Rent-to-Sale ratio of Urban Housing in China. In order to judge the health of the urban housing market in China, the Rent-to-Sale ratio, the risk-free interest rate and the international standard range are compared and analyzed. Finally, by introducing regional virtual variables and setting the eastern region as the benchmark area, an empirical model is constructed to compare the differences between different regions of China. Through the analysis and research, this paper draws the following conclusions: first, regional differences exist in the urban housing market in China; Secondly, the ratio of rent to sale is positively affected by the proportion of tertiary industry to GDP, and negatively affected by the level of residential land price and the rate of housing price growth. Thirdly, through the comparison between the rent and sale ratio, the risk-free interest rate and the international standard range, it is concluded that the housing price has exceeded the reasonable range relative to the housing rent, and there is a certain bubble in the urban housing market of our country. Fourth, there are significant differences in the overall level, specific factors and the same influencing factors of the factors affecting the rental and sales ratio in different regions.
【学位授予单位】：江西财经大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：F299.23
[Abstract]:In recent years, driven by the rapid economic growth in China, the real estate market in China has also developed rapidly. However, the growth rate of housing prices deviates from the development of housing rent and shows obvious regional differences. This has had a certain impact on the sustained and steady development of the real estate market in China. As an important index to measure the relationship between rent and house price, the Rent-to-Sale ratio also shows great fluctuation, and there are obvious differences in the Rent-to-Sale ratio in different regions. Therefore, this article mainly from the housing price and the housing rent influence factor, analyzes the rent to sell the influence factor and thus judges our country housing market the health condition, and discusses the different region rent to sell the ratio influence factor existence difference. In this paper, the influence factors of housing price and housing rent and the relationship between them are discussed, and the relative research on the rental and sale ratio is summarized. Secondly, it divides the urban housing market in China and describes the imbalance in the development of the housing market in different regions. Then through establishing the theoretical model of housing price and housing rent, this paper analyzes the influencing factors and the empirical model to determine the Rent-to-Sale ratio, and studies the relevant factors that affect the Rent-to-Sale ratio of Urban Housing in China. In order to judge the health of the urban housing market in China, the Rent-to-Sale ratio, the risk-free interest rate and the international standard range are compared and analyzed. Finally, by introducing regional virtual variables and setting the eastern region as the benchmark area, an empirical model is constructed to compare the differences between different regions of China. Through the analysis and research, this paper draws the following conclusions: first, regional differences exist in the urban housing market in China; Secondly, the ratio of rent to sale is positively affected by the proportion of tertiary industry to GDP, and negatively affected by the level of residential land price and the rate of housing price growth. Thirdly, through the comparison between the rent and sale ratio, the risk-free interest rate and the international standard range, it is concluded that the housing price has exceeded the reasonable range relative to the housing rent, and there is a certain bubble in the urban housing market of our country. Fourth, there are significant differences in the overall level, specific factors and the same influencing factors of the factors affecting the rental and sales ratio in different regions.
【学位授予单位】：江西财经大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：F299.23
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